Rasi Salai United v Ayutthaya FC prediction · Thai League 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Rasi Salai UnitedDrawAyutthaya FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Rasi Salai United 46%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Rasi Salai United are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rasi Salai United 46%, draw 26%, Ayutthaya FC 28%. Over 2.5 goals 56%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Rasi Salai United v Ayutthaya FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Rasi Salai United win46%

Draw26%

Ayutthaya FC win28%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 6

VenueSisaket Provincial Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rasi Salai United

Ayutthaya FC

4Days since last match4

Last match: 21 Oct · FA Cup (Thailand)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	Ayutthaya FC	5	−1	7
16	Rasi Salai United	5	−8	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · rasi salai united winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

46% The market–

Us46%

We make Rasi Salai United a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Rasi Salai United v Ayutthaya FC~~1.67 – 1.28

~~Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 5 Sept~~W0 D1 L4 · W2 D1 L2

~~Table places · points 1 v 7~~16 v 10

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Rasi Salai United win	46%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Ayutthaya FC win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	56%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	80%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	34%	–	–
Rasi Salai United or draw	72%	–	–
Rasi Salai United clean sheet	28%	–	–
Ayutthaya FC clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.0%

0123450 6.5 5.8 4.3 1 7.8 12.0 7.0 3.0 2 7.3 9.1 5.8 2.5 3 4.1 5.1 3.3 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Rasi Salai United down, Ayutthaya FC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,244 Thai League 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Thai League 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.8% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Rasi Salai United at home: 1.00 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 2). Ayutthaya FC away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.67 goals for Rasi Salai United, 1.28 for Ayutthaya FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 5 Sept

RASI SALAI UNITED

LLDLL1–2 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 2–4 · 1–5

AYUTTHAYA FC

WWLDL2–1 · 1–0 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Port FC	6	+7	15
2	Buriram United	6	+4	13
3	Prachuap	5	+5	12
4	Ratchaburi	6	+6	10
5	Uthai Thani	5	+5	10
6	Sisaket United	6	0	10
7	BG Pathum United	6	+2	9
8	Bangkok United	5	+2	9
9	Rayong FC	6	−2	8
10	Ayutthaya FC	5	−1	7
11	Sukhothai FC	5	−4	6
12	Lamphun Warrior	5	−4	4
13	Chiangrai United	6	−4	4
14	Pattani	5	−4	4
15	Chonburi FC	6	−4	3
16	Rasi Salai United	5	−8	1