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Port FC v Rayong FC
Port FC
Rayong FCThai League 1 · SAT 24 OCT · PAT Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Port FC win at 70%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Port FC was 70% before kick-off and our model makes it 70% now. 0–0 · 70–18–12
- 1′KICK-OFF Port FC v Rayong FC
- 6′We published Port FC at 70%. Our model now makes it 88%. 1–0 · 88–8–4
- 6′⚽ GOAL · 6' Port FC 1–0 Rayong FC
- 6′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 6' Port FC win: 70% at kick-off, 88% now
- 7′Port FC score on 6′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 88–8–4
- 13′🟨 YELLOW · 12' Teerasak Poeiphimai · Port FC
- 13′🟨 YELLOW · 13' João Afonso · Rayong FC
- 18′We published Port FC at 70%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–0 · 96–3–1
- 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Port FC 2–0 Rayong FC
- 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Port FC win: 70% at kick-off, 96% now
- 19′Port FC ahead on 18′ through Teerasak Poeiphimai. 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–1
- 22′⚽ GOAL · 22' Port FC 3–0 Rayong FC
- 23′Bruno Moreira Soares scores for Port FC on 22′ — 3–0. 3–0 · 99–1–0
- 44′We published Port FC at 70%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 3–0 · 100–0–0
- 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 44' Port FC win: 70% at kick-off, over 99% now
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 43' Port FC · On: Essam Al-Subhi · Off: Teerasak Poeiphimai
- 45′SECOND HALF Port FC 3–0 Rayong FC
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Rayong FC · On: Renan Gorne · Off: João Afonso
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Rayong FC · On: Wichaya Ganthong · Off: Worawut Srisupha
- 47′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Rayong FC · On: João Vitor Coutinho Maia · Off: Yeo Hong-Gyu
- 49′HALF-TIME Port FC 3–0 Rayong FC
- 57′🟨 YELLOW · 55' Worachit Kanitsribumphen · Port FC
- 59′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Rayong FC · On: Chananan Pombuppha · Off: João Vitor Coutinho Maia
- 61′4 goals already, more than the 3.5 we expected for the whole match. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Port FC 3–1 Rayong FC
- 62′61′: João Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni on the scoresheet for Rayong FC, making it 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
- 64′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.5 across ninety minutes. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 64′⚽ GOAL · 64' Port FC 4–1 Rayong FC
- 65′Port FC ahead on 65′ through Peeradol Chamrasamee. 4–1. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- 67′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Mayron Marques Barboza da Rocha · Rayong FC
- 68′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Port FC · On: Noboru Shimura · Off: Seksan Ratree
- 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Port FC · On: Lucas Tocantins · Off: Jakkaphan Kaewprom
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 71' Rayong FC · On: Hiromichi Katano · Off: Mayron Marques Barboza da Rocha
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Port FC · On: Jude Soonsup-Bell · Off: Bruno Moreira Soares
- 79′SUBSTITUTION · 78' Port FC · On: Sittha Boonlha · Off: Worachit Kanitsribumphen
- 84′🟨 YELLOW · 83' Chaiyaphon Otton · Port FC
- 94′Full time, 4–1. We called Port FC at 70% — that one lands. 4–1 · 100–0–0
- FTFULL TIME Port FC 4–1 Rayong FC
- FTPort FC 4–1 Rayong FC · Port FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Port FC are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Port FC 70%, draw 18%, Rayong FC 12%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 57%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Port FC win70%
Rayong FC win12%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:00
RoundMatchday 6
VenuePAT Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Port FCMIN
Rayong FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Port FC
4-2-3-1
Rayong FC
4-3-3
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Port FC
Rayong FC
Last match: 21 Oct · FA Cup (Thailand)
Last match: 21 Oct · FA Cup (Thailand)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Port FC
4-2-3-1
93 M. Falkesgaard
4 S. Bureerat
36 P. Akkratum
15 M. Bihr
25 C. Otton
5 P. Chamrasamee
24 J. Kaewprom
17 S. Ratree
22 W. Kanitsribumphen
11 Bruno
14 T. Poeiphimai
Coach · Bozidar Bandovic
Substitutes
47 · S. Boonlha
7 · Issam Al Sabhi
27 · Lucas Tocantins
20 · Marcel Scalese
8 · T. Kesarat
10 · B. Phala
34 · N. Selanon
33 · N. Shimura
18 · Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell
28 · E. Sviatchenko
21 · S. Tiatrakul
1 · S. Yos
Rayong FC
4-3-3
36 Worawut Srisupha
4 H. Katano
94 Antonio Abreu Lara
15 Thanaset Sujarit
5 P. Phatthaphon
8 Natcha Promsomboon
6 João Afonso
17 Bruno Leite
99 C. Măgerușan
77 Yeo Hong-Gyu
98 João Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni
Coach · A. Chalitaporn
Substitutes
30 · W. Ganthong
26 · Renan Gorne
2 · Noppol Kerdkaew
37 · Mayron Marques
18 · P. Ngernprasert
79 · P. Phothep
3 · Thanawat Pimyotha
22 · C. Pombubpha
19 · S. Romphopak
7 · M. Sarakum
80 · W. Withunat
10 · João Vitor Coutinho Maia
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Port FC
4-2-3-1
93 M. Falkesgaard
4 S. Bureerat
36 P. Akkratum
15 M. Bihr
25 C. Otton
5 P. Chamrasamee
24 J. Kaewprom
17 S. Ratree
22 W. Kanitsribumphen
11 Bruno
14 T. Poeiphimai
Coach · Bozidar Bandovic
Substitutes
47 · S. Boonlha
7 · Issam Al Sabhi
27 · Lucas Tocantins
20 · Marcel Scalese
8 · T. Kesarat
10 · B. Phala
34 · N. Selanon
33 · N. Shimura
18 · Jude Jacob Soonsup-Bell
28 · E. Sviatchenko
21 · S. Tiatrakul
1 · S. Yos
Rayong FC
4-3-3
36 Worawut Srisupha
4 H. Katano
94 Antonio Abreu Lara
15 Thanaset Sujarit
5 P. Phatthaphon
8 Natcha Promsomboon
6 João Afonso
17 Bruno Leite
99 C. Măgerușan
77 Yeo Hong-Gyu
98 João Felipe Proscinski Giaccomoni
Coach · A. Chalitaporn
Substitutes
30 · W. Ganthong
26 · Renan Gorne
2 · Noppol Kerdkaew
37 · Mayron Marques
18 · P. Ngernprasert
79 · P. Phothep
3 · Thanawat Pimyotha
22 · C. Pombubpha
19 · S. Romphopak
7 · M. Sarakum
80 · W. Withunat
10 · João Vitor Coutinho Maia
We make Port FC a 70% chance to win. The market has them at 68%. We are within 2 points of the market. The model expects 2.5–1.0.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 69%, 70% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 68% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Port FC win | 70% | 68% | +2 |
| Draw | 18% | 19% | −1 |
| Rayong FC win | 12% | 13% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% | 63% | +4 |
| Both teams to score | 57% | 54% | +3 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% | 82% | +4 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 46% | 43% | +3 |
| Port FC or draw | 88% | 87% | +1 |
| Port FC clean sheet | 39% | – | – |
| Rayong FC clean sheet | 8% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021/22Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 5 Sept
PORT FC
RAYONG FC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Prachuap | 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 3 | Port FC | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 4 | Ratchaburi | 5 | +7 | 10 |
| 5 | Uthai Thani | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Bangkok United | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya FC | 5 | −1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 5 | −1 | 7 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sukhothai FC | 5 | −4 | 6 |
| 12 | Chiangrai United | 5 | −2 | 4 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 5 | −4 | 4 |
| 14 | Pattani | 5 | −4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rasi Salai United | 5 | −8 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 5 | −5 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Buriram United
Prachuap
Ratchaburi
Uthai Thani
Bangkok United
Ayutthaya FC
Sisaket United
BG Pathum United
Sukhothai FC
Chiangrai United
Lamphun Warrior
Pattani
Rasi Salai United
Chonburi FC