Pattani v Rasi Salai United prediction · Thai League 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

PattaniDrawRasi Salai United

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Pattani 52%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Pattani are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Pattani 52%, draw 25%, Rasi Salai United 23%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Pattani v Rasi Salai UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Pattani win52%

Draw25%

Rasi Salai United win23%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueRainbow Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pattani

Rasi Salai United

9Days since last match9

Last match: 21 Oct · FA Cup (Thailand)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
14	Pattani	5	−4	4
15	Rasi Salai United	5	−8	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · pattani winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

52% The market–

Us52%

We make Pattani a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–1.2, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Pattani v Rasi Salai United~~1.86 – 1.18

~~Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 4 Sept~~W1 D1 L3 · W0 D1 L4

~~Table places · points 4 v 1~~14 v 15

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Pattani win	52%	–	–
Draw	25%	–	–
Rasi Salai United win	23%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	58%	–	–
Both teams to score	59%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	81%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	36%	–	–
Pattani or draw	77%	–	–
Pattani clean sheet	31%	–	–
Rasi Salai United clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%

0123450 6.0 4.8 3.4 1 8.0 11.3 6.1 2.4 2 8.2 9.5 5.6 2.2 3 5.1 5.9 3.5 4 2.4 2.8 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Pattani down, Rasi Salai United across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,240 Thai League 1 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Thai League 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.0% of games this season, across 40 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 2 previous meetings since 2025/26 in every competition we cover, 3.50 goals a meeting; 1 of 2 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Pattani at home: 0.00 scored, 1.33 conceded a game (last 3). Rasi Salai United away: 1.67 scored, 4.00 conceded (last 3).

What the model expects

1.86 goals for Pattani, 1.18 for Rasi Salai United. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

2 meetings since 2025/26

~~Goals a meeting~~3.50

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 2

~~Both scored~~2 of 2

~~Last meetings~~PAT 1–1 RAS · RAS 3–2 PAT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 4 Sept

PATTANI

DWLLL0–0 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 2–3 · 0–1

RASI SALAI UNITED

LLDLL1–2 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 2–4 · 1–5

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Port FC	6	+7	15
2	Buriram United	5	+5	13
3	Prachuap	5	+5	12
4	Ratchaburi	5	+7	10
5	Uthai Thani	5	+5	10
6	Bangkok United	5	+2	9
7	Rayong FC	6	−2	8
8	Ayutthaya FC	5	−1	7
9	Sisaket United	5	−1	7
10	BG Pathum United	5	0	6
11	Sukhothai FC	5	−4	6
12	Chiangrai United	5	−2	4
13	Lamphun Warrior	5	−4	4
14	Pattani	5	−4	4
15	Rasi Salai United	5	−8	1
16	Chonburi FC	5	−5	0