Lamphun Warrior v Pattani prediction · Thai League 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Lamphun WarriorDrawPattani

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:30

Before kick-off · Match result · Lamphun Warrior 48%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lamphun Warrior are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lamphun Warrior 48%, draw 27%, Pattani 24%. Over 2.5 goals 48%, both teams to score 51%.

The AI’s read on Lamphun Warrior v PattaniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

Lamphun Warrior win48%

Draw27%

Pattani win24%

Kick-offSUN 25 OCT · 11:30

RoundMatchday 6

VenueLamphun PAO

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lamphun Warrior

Pattani

5Days since last match4

Last match: 20 Oct · FA Cup (Thailand)

Last match: 21 Oct · FA Cup (Thailand)

3Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Lamphun Warrior	5	−4	4
14	Pattani	5	−4	4

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lamphun warrior winFirst published 19 Oct 01:37 · locked at kick-off

48% The market–

Us48%

We make Lamphun Warrior a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Lamphun Warrior v Pattani~~1.56 – 1.03

~~Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 4 Sept~~W1 D1 L3 · W1 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 4 v 4~~12 v 14

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Lamphun Warrior win	48%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Pattani win	24%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	48%	–	–
Both teams to score	51%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	26%	–	–
Lamphun Warrior or draw	76%	–	–
Lamphun Warrior clean sheet	36%	–	–
Pattani clean sheet	22%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 8.9 6.8 4.1 1 10.7 12.9 6.1 2.1 2 9.1 9.1 4.7 3 4.8 4.8 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Lamphun Warrior down, Pattani across0–5 goals a side shown (99.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,244 Thai League 1 matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Thai League 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 56.8% of games this season, across 44 played.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2025/26.

Home and away form

Lamphun Warrior at home: 0.83 scored, 1.50 conceded a game (last 6). Pattani away: 2.00 scored, 2.00 conceded (last 2).

What the model expects

1.56 goals for Lamphun Warrior, 1.03 for Pattani. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2025/26

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2025/26.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 4 Sept

LAMPHUN WARRIOR

LLDLW1–4 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–0

PATTANI

DWLLL0–0 · 2–1 · 0–3 · 2–3 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Port FC	6	+7	15
2	Buriram United	6	+4	13
3	Prachuap	5	+5	12
4	Ratchaburi	6	+6	10
5	Uthai Thani	5	+5	10
6	Sisaket United	6	0	10
7	BG Pathum United	6	+2	9
8	Bangkok United	5	+2	9
9	Rayong FC	6	−2	8
10	Ayutthaya FC	5	−1	7
11	Sukhothai FC	5	−4	6
12	Lamphun Warrior	5	−4	4
13	Chiangrai United	6	−4	4
14	Pattani	5	−4	4
15	Chonburi FC	6	−4	3
16	Rasi Salai United	5	−8	1