Chonburi FC v Prachuap

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Chonburi FC win at 38%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Chonburi FC was 38% before kick-off and our model makes it 38% now. 0–0 · 38–29–32
3. 1′KICK-OFF Chonburi FC v Prachuap
4. 18′We published Chonburi FC at 38%. Our model now makes it 69%. 1–0 · 69–20–12
5. 18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Chonburi FC 1–0 Prachuap
6. 18′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 18' Chonburi FC win: 38% at kick-off, 69% now
7. 19′Chonburi FC score on 19′ to make it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–20–12
8. 20′18′: Stenio Marcos da Fonseca Salazar on the scoresheet for Chonburi FC, making it 1–0. 1–0 · 69–20–11
9. 26′We published Chonburi FC at 38%. Our model now makes it 70%. 1–0 · 70–20–10
10. 30′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 1–0 · 70–20–10
11. 37′🟨 YELLOW · 36' Kike Linares · Chonburi FC
12. 39′🟨 YELLOW · 38' Bernardo Vilar · Prachuap
13. 45′SECOND HALF Chonburi FC 1–0 Prachuap
14. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Chonburi FC · On: Santipharp Channgom · Off: Tristan Do
15. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Prachuap · On: Tailson Pinto Gonçalves · Off: Oussama Thiangkham
16. 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Chonburi FC · On: Channarong Promsrikaew · Off: Korawich Tasa
17. 51′HALF-TIME Chonburi FC 1–0 Prachuap
18. 52′We published Chonburi FC at 38%. Our model now makes it 75%. 1–0 · 75–20–6
19. 60′We published Chonburi FC at 38%. Our model now makes it 96%. 2–0 · 96–4–1
20. 60′⚽ GOAL · 60' Chonburi FC 2–0 Prachuap
21. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' Chonburi FC win: 38% at kick-off, 96% now
22. 63′Chonburi FC ahead on 61′ through Yotsakon Burapha. 2–0. 2–0 · 96–3–0
23. 64′GOAL DISALLOWED · 64' Chonburi FC
24. 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Chonburi FC win: 38% at kick-off, 79% now
25. 66′We published Chonburi FC at 38%. Our model now makes it 80%. 1–0 · 80–17–3
26. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 68' Prachuap · On: Lee Jeong-hyeop · Off: Taua Ferreira dos Santos Corrected
27. 70′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Prachuap · On: Lee Jeong-hyeop · Off: Taua Ferreira dos Santos
28. 73′We said Chonburi FC at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 18%. 1–1 · 18–66–16
29. 73′Chonburi FC have had 22 attempts to 8 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 18–66–16
30. 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Chonburi FC 1–1 Prachuap
31. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Chonburi FC win: 38% at kick-off, 18% now
32. 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Draw is now our likeliest result at 66% (was Chonburi FC win 18%)
33. 75′Prachuap level it on 74′ through Bernardo Vilar. 1–1. 1–1 · 16–69–15
34. 78′We said Chonburi FC at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–74–12
35. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Chonburi FC · On: Chayathorn Tapsuvanavon · Off: Saharat Sontisawat
36. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 81' Chonburi FC · On: Nattapong Sayriya · Off: Peerapat Notchaiya
37. 82′🟨 YELLOW · 82' Stenio Marcos da Fonseca Salazar · Chonburi FC
38. 83′We said Chonburi FC at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–83–8
39. 83′Chonburi FC have had 24 attempts to 10 and it is still 1–1. 1–1 · 9–83–8
40. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Chonburi FC win: 38% at kick-off, 8% now
41. 85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' Chonburi FC · On: Dennis Murillo Skrzypiec · Off: Wellington Priori
42. 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Prachuap · On: Prasit Jantum · Off: Saharat Kanyaroj
43. 90′We said Chonburi FC at 38%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–92–4
44. 90′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 1–2 · 0–4–96
45. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Chonburi FC 1–2 Prachuap
46. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Prachuap win is now our likeliest result at 96% (was Draw 4%)
47. 90′🟨 YELLOW · 89' Tailson Pinto Gonçalves · Prachuap
48. 94′Tailson Pinto Gonçalves scores for Prachuap on 90′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 0–1–99
49. 98′SUBSTITUTION · 90+7' Prachuap · On: Wanchat Choosong · Off: Édgar Méndez
50. 100′Full time, 1–2. We called Chonburi FC at 38% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–2 · 0–0–100
51. 100′🟨 YELLOW · 90+9' Lucas grossi · Prachuap
52. FTFULL TIME Chonburi FC 1–2 Prachuap
53. FTChonburi FC 1–2 Prachuap · Chonburi FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.