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Buriram United v Sisaket United
Buriram United
Sisaket UnitedThai League 1 · SAT 24 OCT · Chang Arena
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Buriram United win at 80%.
- 1′Little has changed for our model: Buriram United 80% before kick-off, 80% now. 0–0 · 80–13–6
- 1′KICK-OFF Buriram United v Sisaket United
- 26′We said Buriram United at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 49%. 0–1 · 49–25–27
- 26′⚽ GOAL · 26' Buriram United 0–1 Sisaket United
- 26′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 26' Buriram United win: 80% at kick-off, 49% now
- 27′Sisaket United ahead on 26′ through Kittipong Wongma. 0–1. 0–1 · 48–25–27
- 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.7 we expected. 0–1 · 46–26–28
- 31′We said Buriram United at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 23%. 0–2 · 23–22–55
- 31′⚽ GOAL · 31' Buriram United 0–2 Sisaket United
- 31′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 31' Buriram United win: 80% at kick-off, 23% now
- 31′THE CALL SWINGS · 31' Sisaket United win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Buriram United win 45%)
- 32′Jefesson Vieira Eufrazio scores for Sisaket United on 31′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 23–22–55
- 35′We said Buriram United at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 43%. 1–2 · 43–27–30
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Buriram United 1–2 Sisaket United
- 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 35' Buriram United win: 80% at kick-off, 43% now
- 35′THE CALL SWINGS · 35' Buriram United win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Sisaket United win 57%)
- 36′35′: Supachai Chaided on the scoresheet for Buriram United, making it 1–2. 1–2 · 42–27–31
- 39′SUBSTITUTION · 38' Buriram United · On: Kingsley Schindler · Off: Paulinho
- 40′We said Buriram United at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 1–2 · 39–28–33
- 42′🟨 YELLOW · 41' Sittichok Kannoo · Sisaket United
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Buriram United · On: Goran Čaušić · Off: Theerathon Bunmathan
- 45′SECOND HALF Buriram United 1–2 Sisaket United
- 45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Buriram United · On: Thanakrit Chotmuangpak · Off: Sebas Moyano
- 46′We said Buriram United at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 1–2 · 34–30–36
- 46′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Sisaket United · On: Denis Paul Kun Darbellay · Off: Sittichok Kannoo
- 47′HALF-TIME Buriram United 1–2 Sisaket United
- 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Sisaket United win is now our likeliest result at 38% (was Buriram United win 35%)
- 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 51' Buriram United win: 80% at kick-off, 30% now
- 52′We said Buriram United at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 1–2 · 29–31–40
- 53′🟨 YELLOW · 53' Kenneth Dougall · Buriram United
- 61′We said Buriram United at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 53%. 2–2 · 53–38–9
- 61′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 2–2 · 53–38–9
- 61′SUBSTITUTION · 60' Buriram United · On: Darlan Pereira Mendes · Off: Supachai Chaided
- 61′⚽ GOAL · 61' Buriram United 2–2 Sisaket United
- 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Buriram United win: 80% at kick-off, 53% now
- 61′THE CALL SWINGS · 61' Buriram United win is now our likeliest result at 53% (was Sisaket United win 47%)
- 63′Buriram United level it on 62′ through Kingsley Schindler. 2–2. 2–2 · 51–40–9
- 66′SUBSTITUTION · 65' Sisaket United · On: Hikaru Matsui · Off: Patrick Valverde Peral Lopez
- 70′THE CALL SWINGS · 70' Draw is now our likeliest result at 49% (was Buriram United win 46%)
- 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 72' Buriram United win: 80% at kick-off, 40% now
- 73′We said Buriram United at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 10%. 2–3 · 10–29–62
- 73′⚽ GOAL · 73' Buriram United 2–3 Sisaket United
- 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Buriram United win: 80% at kick-off, 10% now
- 73′THE CALL SWINGS · 73' Sisaket United win is now our likeliest result at 62% (was Draw 54%)
- 74′We said Buriram United at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 9%. 2–3 · 9–28–63
- 74′5 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 9–28–63
- 75′Jefesson Vieira Eufrazio scores for Sisaket United on 74′ — 2–3. 2–3 · 8–27–65
- 78′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Sisaket United · On: Anderson Carneiro · Off: Jefesson Vieira Eufrazio
- 80′We said Buriram United at 80%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 4%. 2–3 · 4–22–74
- 82′SUBSTITUTION · 82' Buriram United · On: Stefan Schimmer · Off: Phitiwat Sookjitthammakul
- 89′SUBSTITUTION · 88' Sisaket United · On: Sakkranvit Nimma · Off: Narongrit Kamnet
- 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' Buriram United win: 80% at kick-off, under 1% now
- 95′2–3 at the end. Our 80% on Buriram United misses, and the record keeps it. 2–3 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Buriram United 2–3 Sisaket United
- FTBuriram United 2–3 Sisaket United · Buriram United win: wrong · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 2–0 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Buriram United are clear favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Buriram United 80%, draw 13%, Sisaket United 6%. Over 2.5 goals 70%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 18 Oct 01:23 · locked at kick-off
Buriram United win80%
Sisaket United win6%Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 12:30
RoundMatchday 6
VenueChang Arena
Match timeline
All events
Buriram UnitedMIN
Sisaket UnitedEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Buriram United
4-2-3-1
Sisaket United
4-4-2
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Buriram United
Sisaket United
Last match: 21 Oct · FA Cup (Thailand)
Last match: 21 Oct · FA Cup (Thailand)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Buriram United
4-2-3-1
13 N. Etheridge
39 J. Praisuwan
16 K. Dougall
5 Nathan
2 S. Haiprakhon
27 P. Sookjitthammakul
55 T. Bunmathan
9 S. Chaided
8 Paulinho
10 Sebas Moyano
7 Bissoli
Coach · Mário Silva
Substitutes
30 · S. Schimmer
54 · N. Rattanasuwan
37 · Darlan
29 · K. Nareechan
75 · S. Leeaoh
3 · P. Hemviboon
33 · T. Chotmuangpak
19 · K. Schindler
15 · N. Weerawatnodom
11 · A. Yodsangwal
23 · G. Čaušić
Sisaket United
4-4-2
77 Steven van Dijk
3 Borech
5 Pakornkiat Kaena
35 I. Honny
45 Chutikom Klinchampasri
23 N. Kamnet
20 Patrick
19 K. Wongma
7 Alex Mermoz Djatche Nandje
99 S. Kannoo
9 Jefesson Vieira Eufrazio
Coach · S. Chuayboonchum
Substitutes
2 · D. Darbellay
10 · Deyvison
27 · Phiyawat Intarapim
39 · A. Jaiphet
8 · Hikaru Matsui
88 · Sakkranvit Nimma
44 · Natthasan Pakkarano
11 · Phattharapong Phengchaem
97 · Suttichai Pongson
6 · Anderson Carneiro
67 · Arthit Bua-ngam
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Buriram United
4-2-3-1
13 N. Etheridge
39 J. Praisuwan
16 K. Dougall
5 Nathan
2 S. Haiprakhon
27 P. Sookjitthammakul
55 T. Bunmathan
9 S. Chaided
8 Paulinho
10 Sebas Moyano
7 Bissoli
Coach · Mário Silva
Substitutes
30 · S. Schimmer
54 · N. Rattanasuwan
37 · Darlan
29 · K. Nareechan
75 · S. Leeaoh
3 · P. Hemviboon
33 · T. Chotmuangpak
19 · K. Schindler
15 · N. Weerawatnodom
11 · A. Yodsangwal
23 · G. Čaušić
Sisaket United
4-4-2
77 Steven van Dijk
3 Borech
5 Pakornkiat Kaena
35 I. Honny
45 Chutikom Klinchampasri
23 N. Kamnet
20 Patrick
19 K. Wongma
7 Alex Mermoz Djatche Nandje
99 S. Kannoo
9 Jefesson Vieira Eufrazio
Coach · S. Chuayboonchum
Substitutes
2 · D. Darbellay
10 · Deyvison
27 · Phiyawat Intarapim
39 · A. Jaiphet
8 · Hikaru Matsui
88 · Sakkranvit Nimma
44 · Natthasan Pakkarano
11 · Phattharapong Phengchaem
97 · Suttichai Pongson
6 · Anderson Carneiro
67 · Arthit Bua-ngam
We make Buriram United an 80% chance to win. The market has them at 74%. We are 6 points more confident than the market. The model expects 3.0–0.7.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 81%, 80% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 74% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buriram United win | 80% | 74% | +6 |
| Draw | 13% | 16% | −3 |
| Sisaket United win | 6% | 9% | −3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% | 64% | +6 |
| Both teams to score | 49% | 48% | +1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% | 82% | +6 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 50% | 44% | +6 |
| Buriram United or draw | 94% | 91% | +3 |
| Buriram United clean sheet | 49% | – | – |
| Sisaket United clean sheet | 6% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
No meetings since 2024/25No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2024/25.
Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 5 Sept
BURIRAM UNITED
SISAKET UNITED
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Buriram United | 5 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 | Prachuap | 5 | +5 | 12 |
| 3 | Port FC | 5 | +4 | 12 |
| 4 | Ratchaburi | 5 | +7 | 10 |
| 5 | Uthai Thani | 5 | +5 | 10 |
| 6 | Bangkok United | 5 | +2 | 9 |
| 7 | Rayong FC | 5 | +1 | 8 |
| 8 | Ayutthaya FC | 5 | −1 | 7 |
| 9 | Sisaket United | 5 | −1 | 7 |
| 10 | BG Pathum United | 5 | 0 | 6 |
| 11 | Sukhothai FC | 5 | −4 | 6 |
| 12 | Chiangrai United | 5 | −2 | 4 |
| 13 | Lamphun Warrior | 5 | −4 | 4 |
| 14 | Pattani | 5 | −4 | 4 |
| 15 | Rasi Salai United | 5 | −8 | 1 |
| 16 | Chonburi FC | 5 | −5 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Prachuap
Port FC
Ratchaburi
Uthai Thani
Bangkok United
Rayong FC
Ayutthaya FC
BG Pathum United
Sukhothai FC
Chiangrai United
Lamphun Warrior
Pattani
Rasi Salai United
Chonburi FC