Bangkok United v Uthai Thani prediction · Thai League 1

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Bangkok UnitedDrawUthai Thani

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 12:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Bangkok United 60%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Bangkok United are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bangkok United 60%, draw 24%, Uthai Thani 16%. Over 2.5 goals 53%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Bangkok United v Uthai ThaniBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Bangkok United win60%

Draw24%

Uthai Thani win16%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 12:00

RoundMatchday 7

VenueThammasat Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bangkok United

Uthai Thani

9Days since last match10

Last match: 21 Oct · FA Cup (Thailand)

Last match: 20 Oct · FA Cup (Thailand)

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Uthai Thani	5	+5	10
6	Bangkok United	5	+2	9

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · bangkok united winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Bangkok United a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.9–0.9, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bangkok United v Uthai Thani~~1.92 – 0.88

~~Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 5 Sept~~W3 D0 L2 · W3 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 9 v 10~~6 v 5

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bangkok United win	60%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Uthai Thani win	16%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	53%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	31%	–	–
Bangkok United or draw	84%	–	–
Bangkok United clean sheet	42%	–	–
Uthai Thani clean sheet	15%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%

0123450 7.3 4.5 2.4 1 10.8 11.1 4.5 2 11.1 9.6 4.3 3 7.1 6.2 2.7 4 3.5 3.0 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bangkok United down, Uthai Thani across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,240 Thai League 1 matches up to 18 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Thai League 1 matches have gone over 2.5 in 55.0% of games this season, across 40 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2022/23 in every competition we cover, 2.50 goals a meeting; 3 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bangkok United at home: 2.17 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Uthai Thani away: 1.17 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.92 goals for Bangkok United, 0.88 for Uthai Thani. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2022/23

~~Goals a meeting~~2.50

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 6

~~Both scored~~3 of 6

~~Last meetings~~UTH 1–1 BAN · BAN 1–2 UTH · UTH 0–2 BAN · BAN 0–0 UTH

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Thai League 1 this season · since 5 Sept

BANGKOK UNITED

WLWWL3–1 · 0–1 · 3–2 · 2–0 · 0–2

UTHAI THANI

WLWWD4–1 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 4–2 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Port FC	6	+7	15
2	Buriram United	5	+5	13
3	Prachuap	5	+5	12
4	Ratchaburi	5	+7	10
5	Uthai Thani	5	+5	10
6	Bangkok United	5	+2	9
7	Rayong FC	6	−2	8
8	Ayutthaya FC	5	−1	7
9	Sisaket United	5	−1	7
10	BG Pathum United	5	0	6
11	Sukhothai FC	5	−4	6
12	Chiangrai United	5	−2	4
13	Lamphun Warrior	5	−4	4
14	Pattani	5	−4	4
15	Rasi Salai United	5	−8	1
16	Chonburi FC	5	−5	0