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Rasi Salai United v Port FC

Rasi Salai United
1–3Full time
Port FC

FA Cup · WED 21 OCT · Sisaket Provincial Stadium

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 15:31
Rasi Salai United 1–3 Port FC PORT FC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Port FC win68%
The market said65%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.152
The market’s Brier score0.187

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay12 notes · 15 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Port FC win at 68%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Port FC 68% before kick-off, 68% now. 0–0 · 14–18–68
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Rasi Salai United v Port FC
  4. 2′Port FC score on 2′ to make it 0–1. 0–1 · 5–9–86
  5. 2′⚽ GOAL · 2' Rasi Salai United 0–1 Port FC
  6. 2′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 2' Port FC win: 68% at kick-off, 86% now
  7. 3′We said Port FC at 68% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 0–1 · 5–9–85
  8. 11′Port FC find the net on 11′. 0–2. 0–2 · 1–4–95
  9. 11′⚽ GOAL · 11' Rasi Salai United 0–2 Port FC
  10. 11′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 11' Port FC win: 68% at kick-off, 95% now
  11. 12′We said Port FC at 68% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–2 · 1–4–95
  12. 16′A goal for Rasi Salai United on 16′ — 1–2. 1–2 · 5–10–85
  13. 16′⚽ GOAL · 16' Rasi Salai United 1–2 Port FC
  14. 21′We said Port FC at 68% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 84%. 1–2 · 5–11–84
  15. 21′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 21' Port FC win: 68% at kick-off, 84% now
  16. 27′Port FC score on 27′ to make it 1–3. 1–3 · 1–4–95
  17. 27′⚽ GOAL · 27' Rasi Salai United 1–3 Port FC
  18. 27′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 27' Port FC win: 68% at kick-off, 95% now
  19. 30′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.7 across ninety minutes. 1–3 · 1–4–95
  20. 45′HALF-TIME Rasi Salai United 1–3 Port FC
  21. 46′SECOND HALF Rasi Salai United 1–3 Port FC
  22. 61′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 61' Port FC win: 68% at kick-off, 98% now
  23. 81′We said Port FC at 68% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 1–3 · 0–0–100
  24. 88′Rasi Salai United find the net on 88′. 2–3. 2–3 · 0–4–96
  25. 88′⚽ GOAL · 88' Rasi Salai United 2–3 Port FC
  26. 89′5 goals already, more than the 3.7 we expected for the whole match. 2–3 · 0–4–96
  27. 90′GOAL DISALLOWED · 90' Rasi Salai United
  28. FTFULL TIME Rasi Salai United 1–3 Port FC
  29. FTRasi Salai United 1–3 Port FC · Port FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Port FC are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Rasi Salai United 14%, draw 17%, Port FC 68%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on Rasi Salai United v Port FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Rasi Salai United win14%
Draw17%
Port FC win68%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 12:00

RoundRound of 64

VenueSisaket Provincial Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Rasi Salai United

Port FC

4Days since last match3

Last match: 17 Oct · Thai League 1

Last match: 18 Oct · Thai League 1

2Matches in previous 14 days4

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · port fc winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · updated 19 Oct 00:21 · locked at kick-off
68% The market65%
Us68%
Market65%

We make Port FC a 68% chance to win. The market has them at 65%. We are 3 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–2.6.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Rasi Salai United v Port FC1.12 – 2.56
The market · Port FC win65% · ours 68%

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
60%65%70% 15 OCT 04:3321 OCT 11:43
Our probability · Port FC win The market, margin stripped

Published at 64%, 68% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 65% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Rasi Salai United win14%14%0
Draw17%21%−4
Port FC win68%65%+3
Over 2.5 goals71%57%+14
Both teams to score62%51%+11
Over 1.5 goals88%79%+9
Over 3.5 goals50%36%+14
Rasi Salai United or draw32%35%−3
Rasi Salai United clean sheet8%––
Port FC clean sheet33%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.3%
0123450 2.8 6.3 8.3 7.1 4.5 2.31 2.6 7.5 9.3 7.9 5.0 2.62 4.0 5.2 4.4 2.8 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Rasi Salai United down, Port FC across0–5 goals a side shown (95.3% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2025/26
Goals a meeting3.00
Over 2.51 of 1
Both scored1 of 1
Last meetingsRAS 1–2 POR

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · FA Cup this season

RASI SALAI UNITED

No matches in our record yet.

PORT FC

No matches in our record yet.