

Kasetsart FC v Chanthaburi
Kasetsart FC
ChanthaburiFA Cup · WED 21 OCT · Insee Chantarasatit Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Kasetsart FC win at 37%.
- 1′KICK-OFF Kasetsart FC v Chanthaburi
- 2′Much as we predicted: Kasetsart FC was 37% before kick-off and our model makes it 37% now. 0–0 · 37–28–34
- 8′We said Kasetsart FC at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 16%. 0–1 · 16–21–63
- 8′⚽ GOAL · 8' Kasetsart FC 0–1 Chanthaburi
- 8′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 8' Kasetsart FC win: 37% at kick-off, 16% now
- 8′THE CALL SWINGS · 8' Chanthaburi win is now our likeliest result at 63% (was Kasetsart FC win 37%)
- 9′Chanthaburi find the net on 9′. 0–1. 0–1 · 16–21–63
- 16′We said Kasetsart FC at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–1 · 14–21–64
- 23′We said Kasetsart FC at 37%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–2 · 4–9–87
- 23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Kasetsart FC 0–2 Chanthaburi
- 23′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 23' Kasetsart FC win: 37% at kick-off, 4% now
- 24′A goal for Chanthaburi on 24′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 4–9–87
- 35′That is 3, and we only asked for 2.5 across ninety minutes. 0–3 · 0–2–97
- 35′⚽ GOAL · 35' Kasetsart FC 0–3 Chanthaburi
- 36′Chanthaburi score on 35′ to make it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–2–98
- 43′4 goals already, more than the 2.5 we expected for the whole match. 1–3 · 2–7–91
- 43′⚽ GOAL · 43' Kasetsart FC 1–3 Chanthaburi
- 44′Kasetsart FC find the net on 43′. 1–3. 1–3 · 2–7–91
- 45′SECOND HALF Kasetsart FC 1–3 Chanthaburi
- 46′HALF-TIME Kasetsart FC 1–3 Chanthaburi
- 94′Full time, 1–3. We called Kasetsart FC at 37% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 1–3 · 0–0–100
- FTFULL TIME Kasetsart FC 1–3 Chanthaburi
- FTKasetsart FC 1–3 Chanthaburi · Kasetsart FC win: wrong · Under 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Close to call, with Kasetsart FC just ahead.
The Pitchside prediction: Kasetsart FC 37%, draw 28%, Chanthaburi 34%. Over 2.5 goals 45%, both teams to score 51%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off
Kasetsart FC win37%
Chanthaburi win34%Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 11:00
RoundRound of 64
VenueInsee Chantarasatit Stadium
Match timeline
All events
Kasetsart FCMIN
ChanthaburiEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Kasetsart FC
Chanthaburi
Last match: 17 Oct · Thai League 2
Last match: 18 Oct · Thai League 2
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Kasetsart FC a 37% chance to win. The market has them at 25%. We are 12 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.3–1.2.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Published at 38%, 37% now. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 25% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kasetsart FC win | 37% | 25% | +12 |
| Draw | 28% | 28% | 0 |
| Chanthaburi win | 34% | 47% | −13 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 45% | 47% | −2 |
| Both teams to score | 51% | 51% | 0 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 71% | 71% | 0 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 24% | 27% | −3 |
| Kasetsart FC or draw | 66% | 53% | +13 |
| Kasetsart FC clean sheet | 30% | – | – |
| Chanthaburi clean sheet | 28% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 7 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
7 meetings since 2023/24Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · FA Cup this season
KASETSART FC
No matches in our record yet.
CHANTHABURI
No matches in our record yet.