Tabora United v Young Africans

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Young Africans win at 68%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Young Africans was 68% before kick-off and our model makes it 67% now. 0–0 · 11–22–67
3. 1′KICK-OFF Tabora United v Young Africans
4. 30′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 30' Young Africans win: 68% at kick-off, 58% now
5. 32′We published Young Africans at 68%. Our model now makes it 88%. 0–1 · 2–10–88
6. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Tabora United 0–1 Young Africans
7. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 32' Young Africans win: 68% at kick-off, 88% now
8. 33′Goals are coming at about the 2.5 we expected. 0–1 · 2–10–88
9. 33′A goal for Young Africans on 33′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 2–10–88
10. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 33' Young Africans win: 68% at kick-off, 88% now
11. 35′GOAL DISALLOWED · 35' Young Africans
12. 35′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 35' Young Africans win: 68% at kick-off, 56% now
13. 45′HALF-TIME Tabora United 0–0 Young Africans
14. 45′SECOND HALF Tabora United 0–0 Young Africans
15. 46′Young Africans find the net on 45′. 0–0 · 11–38–50
16. 47′🟨 YELLOW · 45+2' Tabora United
17. 48′We said Young Africans at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 11–40–49
18. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 50' Young Africans win: 68% at kick-off, 48% now
19. 55′We expected about 2.5 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 11–38–51
20. 55′We said Young Africans at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 44%. 0–0 · 11–45–44
21. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 47% (was Young Africans win 45%)
22. 62′We said Young Africans at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 10–51–39
23. 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Young Africans win: 68% at kick-off, 38% now
24. 67′We said Young Africans at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 9–57–34
25. 72′We said Young Africans at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 8–63–29
26. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Young Africans win: 68% at kick-off, 27% now
27. 76′We said Young Africans at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 7–70–24
28. 79′We said Young Africans at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 6–75–19
29. 80′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 80' Young Africans win: 68% at kick-off, 18% now
30. 83′We said Young Africans at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 13%. 0–0 · 4–83–13
31. 87′We said Young Africans at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 3–88–9
32. 88′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 88' Young Africans win: 68% at kick-off, 8% now
33. 90′Full time, 0–0. We called Young Africans at 68% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 0–0 · 0–100–0
34. 91′🟥 RED CARD · 90+1' Young Africans
35. 92′A red card for Young Africans on 90′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 0–0 · 1–95–4
36. 92′We said Young Africans at 68%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 1–95–4
37. FTFULL TIME Tabora United 0–0 Young Africans
38. FTTabora United 0–0 Young Africans · Young Africans win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 0–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.