Singida Black Stars v Tabora United prediction · Ligi kuu Bara

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · postponed

Singida Black Stars are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Singida Black Stars 60%, draw 24%, Tabora United 17%. Over 2.5 goals 50%, both teams to score 49%.

The AI’s read on Singida Black Stars v Tabora UnitedBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

Singida Black Stars win60%

Draw24%

Tabora United win17%

Kick-offSAT 24 OCT · 14:00

RoundMatchday 9

VenueAirtel Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Singida Black Stars

Tabora United

6Days since last match16

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup

Last match: 8 Oct · Ligi kuu Bara

2Matches in previous 14 days0

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
8	Singida Black Stars	8	+3	11
13	Tabora United	7	−1	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · singida black stars winFirst published 18 Oct 01:23 · postponed, not graded

60% The market–

Us60%

We make Singida Black Stars a 60% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–0.9, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Singida Black Stars v Tabora United~~1.85 – 0.86

~~Form · last six in Ligi kuu Bara this season · since 20 Aug~~W2 D1 L3 · W1 D2 L3

~~Table places · points 11 v 6~~8 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Singida Black Stars win	60%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Tabora United win	17%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	50%	–	–
Both teams to score	49%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	75%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	29%	–	–
Singida Black Stars or draw	83%	–	–
Singida Black Stars clean sheet	43%	–	–
Tabora United clean sheet	16%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 11.8%

0123450 7.6 5.3 2.6 1 11.8 11.1 4.5 2 11.2 9.5 4.1 3 6.9 5.8 2.5 4 3.2 2.7 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Singida Black Stars down, Tabora United across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,277 Ligi kuu Bara matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligi kuu Bara matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.8% of games this season, across 64 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 3.25 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Singida Black Stars at home: 3.17 scored, 1.17 conceded a game (last 6). Tabora United away: 1.00 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.85 goals for Singida Black Stars, 0.86 for Tabora United. Most likely score 1–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~2 of 4

~~Last meetings~~TAB 2–0 SIN · SIN 1–3 TAB · SIN 3–0 TAB · TAB 2–2 SIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligi kuu Bara this season · since 20 Aug

SINGIDA BLACK STARS

LWWLDL1–2 · 4–2 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1

TABORA UNITED

LDLDWL1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 3–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Simba	8	+15	24
2	Young Africans	7	+13	18
3	Azam	8	+6	17
4	Dodoma Jiji	8	+3	14
5	JKT Tanzania	8	−1	13
6	Polisi Tanzania	9	+1	12
7	Mashujaa	8	−4	12
8	Singida Black Stars	8	+3	11
9	Mbeya City	8	−1	10
10	Coastal Union	8	−4	10
11	Namungo	8	−4	9
12	Geita Gold	8	−6	7
13	Tabora United	7	−1	6
14	Pamba Jiji	9	−5	6
15	Kagera Sugar	8	−7	6
16	Fountain Gate	8	−8	5