Polisi Tanzania v Pamba Jiji

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Polisi Tanzania win at 53%.
2. 1′Much as we predicted: Polisi Tanzania was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–26–21
3. 1′KICK-OFF Polisi Tanzania v Pamba Jiji
4. 32′A goal for Pamba Jiji on 32′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 19–27–55
5. 32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Polisi Tanzania 0–1 Pamba Jiji
6. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Polisi Tanzania win: 53% at kick-off, 19% now
7. 32′THE CALL SWINGS · 32' Pamba Jiji win is now our likeliest result at 55% (was Polisi Tanzania win 46%)
8. 33′We said Polisi Tanzania at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–1 · 19–27–55
9. 33′Goals are coming at about the 2.6 we expected. 0–1 · 19–27–55
10. 42′Polisi Tanzania score on 41′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 42–38–20
11. 42′⚽ GOAL · 41' Polisi Tanzania 1–1 Pamba Jiji
12. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 42' Polisi Tanzania win: 53% at kick-off, 42% now
13. 44′🟨 YELLOW · 44' Polisi Tanzania
14. 45′We said Polisi Tanzania at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 1–1 · 41–40–20
15. 45′HALF-TIME Polisi Tanzania 1–1 Pamba Jiji
16. 46′SECOND HALF Polisi Tanzania 1–1 Pamba Jiji
17. 48′We said Polisi Tanzania at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 1–1 · 39–41–19
18. 51′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+6' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Pamba Jiji win 58%)
19. 51′🟨 YELLOW · 51' Pamba Jiji
20. 57′🟨 YELLOW · 57' Pamba Jiji
21. 58′A red card for Pamba Jiji on 57′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 1–1 · 34–48–17
22. 58′🟥 RED CARD · 57' Pamba Jiji
23. 59′We said Polisi Tanzania at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 1–1 · 34–49–17
24. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' Polisi Tanzania win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
25. 66′We said Polisi Tanzania at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 29–56–15
26. 72′We said Polisi Tanzania at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 1–1 · 24–64–13
27. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' Polisi Tanzania win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
28. 81′We said Polisi Tanzania at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–1 · 14–78–8
29. 82′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 82' Polisi Tanzania win: 53% at kick-off, 13% now
30. 85′We said Polisi Tanzania at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–1 · 9–86–5
31. 91′We said Polisi Tanzania at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 4–93–2
32. 92′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+2' Polisi Tanzania win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
33. FTFULL TIME Polisi Tanzania 1–1 Pamba Jiji
34. FTPolisi Tanzania 1–1 Pamba Jiji · Polisi Tanzania win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.