Pamba Jiji v Singida Black Stars prediction · Ligi kuu Bara

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Pamba JijiDrawSingida Black Stars

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 11:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Singida Black Stars 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Singida Black Stars are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Pamba Jiji 33%, draw 27%, Singida Black Stars 39%. Over 2.5 goals 49%, both teams to score 53%.

The AI’s read on Pamba Jiji v Singida Black StarsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 23 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Pamba Jiji win33%

Draw27%

Singida Black Stars win39%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 11:00

RoundMatchday 10

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pamba Jiji

Singida Black Stars

6Days since last match11

Last match: 23 Oct · Ligi kuu Bara

Last match: 18 Oct · CAF Confederation Cup

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
9	Singida Black Stars	8	+3	11
14	Pamba Jiji	9	−5	6

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · singida black stars winFirst published 23 Oct 00:01 · updated 25 Oct 00:25 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Singida Black Stars a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Pamba Jiji v Singida Black Stars~~1.25 – 1.38

~~Form · last six in Ligi kuu Bara this season · since 22 Aug~~W1 D2 L3 · W2 D1 L3

~~Table places · points 6 v 11~~14 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · Singida Black Stars win

Published at 40%, 39% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Pamba Jiji win	33%	–	–
Draw	27%	–	–
Singida Black Stars win	39%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	49%	–	–
Both teams to score	53%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	74%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	27%	–	–
Pamba Jiji or draw	61%	–	–
Pamba Jiji clean sheet	26%	–	–
Singida Black Stars clean sheet	29%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 8.2 9.4 6.9 3.2 1 8.5 12.9 8.3 3.9 2 5.7 7.6 5.2 2.4 3 2.4 3.2 2.2 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Pamba Jiji down, Singida Black Stars across0–5 goals a side shown (99.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,280 Ligi kuu Bara matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligi kuu Bara matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.3% of games this season, across 67 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 4 previous meetings since 2024/25 in every competition we cover, 2.75 goals a meeting; 2 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Pamba Jiji at home: 1.33 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). Singida Black Stars away: 1.00 scored, 1.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.25 goals for Pamba Jiji, 1.38 for Singida Black Stars. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024/25

~~Goals a meeting~~2.75

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SIN 3–1 PAM · PAM 1–1 SIN · SIN 2–2 PAM · PAM 0–1 SIN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligi kuu Bara this season · since 22 Aug

PAMBA JIJI

LLLWDD0–2 · 0–3 · 1–3 · 4–0 · 1–1 · 1–1

SINGIDA BLACK STARS

LWWLDL1–2 · 4–2 · 3–2 · 1–2 · 1–1 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Simba	8	+15	24
2	Young Africans	8	+13	19
3	Azam	8	+6	17
4	JKT Tanzania	9	0	16
5	Dodoma Jiji	8	+3	14
6	Polisi Tanzania	9	+1	12
7	Namungo	9	−3	12
8	Mashujaa	8	−4	12
9	Singida Black Stars	8	+3	11
10	Mbeya City	8	−1	10
11	Coastal Union	9	−5	10
12	Tabora United	8	−1	7
13	Geita Gold	8	−6	7
14	Pamba Jiji	9	−5	6
15	Kagera Sugar	9	−8	6
16	Fountain Gate	8	−8	5