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Mbeya City v Kagera Sugar
Ligi kuu Bara · FRI 9 OCT · Sokoine Stadium
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
Match updates
Recorded match details below.
Timeline
Events will appear when the match starts.
Pre-match prediction
Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15
Match information
FRI 9 OCT · 14:15
Venue · Sokoine Stadium
The game so far
Recorded statisticsMatch statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Players on the pitch
Recorded line-upsLine-ups
Mbeya City
Formation not confirmed
31 Kutusha
10 E. Ambokile
5 Y. Seleman Mbegu
8 O. Buzungu
14 N. Mbarouk
20 H. Haji
21 J. Mwanuke
26 A. Buha
32 O. Abdallah
33 Mtabigva
49 O. Mwajanga
Coach · –
Substitutes
18 · S. Dondola
23 · M. Joseph
29 · G. Chota
22 · V. Mayanga
7 · R. Msuya
19 · H. Majimengi
4 · K. Pillar
15 · S. Shabani
16 · A. Benson
36 · I. Kasongi
Kagera Sugar
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Kipao
18 J. Masanja
14 Opiyo
45 Y. Zuberi
24 D. Milandu
29 J. Evastus
13 S. Ndemla
20 D. Mhilu
37 Y. Yassin
47 M. Said
10 E. Mvuyekule
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · S. Ferous
11 · N. Shaban
3 · C. Luhende
15 · R. Mathias
19 · N. Kazimoto
5 · A. Mengi
26 · E. Mambo
27 · M. Shigela
48 · A. Oseja
17 · H. Mwaterema
Match statistics
Match statistics are not available yet.
Line-ups
Mbeya City
Formation not confirmed
31 Kutusha
10 E. Ambokile
5 Y. Seleman Mbegu
8 O. Buzungu
14 N. Mbarouk
20 H. Haji
21 J. Mwanuke
26 A. Buha
32 O. Abdallah
33 Mtabigva
49 O. Mwajanga
Coach · –
Substitutes
18 · S. Dondola
23 · M. Joseph
29 · G. Chota
22 · V. Mayanga
7 · R. Msuya
19 · H. Majimengi
4 · K. Pillar
15 · S. Shabani
16 · A. Benson
36 · I. Kasongi
Kagera Sugar
Formation not confirmed
1 S. Kipao
18 J. Masanja
14 Opiyo
45 Y. Zuberi
24 D. Milandu
29 J. Evastus
13 S. Ndemla
20 D. Mhilu
37 Y. Yassin
47 M. Said
10 E. Mvuyekule
Coach · –
Substitutes
12 · S. Ferous
11 · N. Shaban
3 · C. Luhende
15 · R. Mathias
19 · N. Kazimoto
5 · A. Mengi
26 · E. Mambo
27 · M. Shigela
48 · A. Oseja
17 · H. Mwaterema
We make Mbeya City a 51% chance to win. The market has them at 50%. We are within 1 point of the market. The model expects 1.4–0.7.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 50% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mbeya City win | 51% | 50% | +1 |
| Draw | 29% | 29% | 0 |
| Kagera Sugar win | 20% | 21% | −1 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 35% | 40% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 39% | 44% | −5 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62% | 65% | −2 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% | 21% | −4 |
| Mbeya City or draw | 80% | 79% | +1 |
| Mbeya City clean sheet | 48% | – | – |
| Kagera Sugar clean sheet | 26% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
4 meetings since 2021Form · last six in Ligi kuu Bara
MBEYA CITY
KAGERA SUGAR
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Young Africans | 6 | +14 | 18 |
| 2 |  Simba | 6 | +9 | 18 |
| 3 |  Azam | 7 | +4 | 14 |
| 4 |  Mashujaa | 7 | +1 | 12 |
| 5 |  Singida Black Stars | 6 | +4 | 10 |
| 6 | Mbeya City | 6 | +2 | 10 |
| 7 |  Polisi Tanzania | 7 | +1 | 10 |
| 8 |  Dodoma Jiji | 6 | 0 | 10 |
| 9 |  Namungo | 8 | −4 | 9 |
| 10 |  Geita Gold | 7 | −3 | 7 |
| 11 |  JKT Tanzania | 6 | −3 | 7 |
| 12 |  Coastal Union | 6 | −3 | 7 |
| 13 |  Tabora United | 7 | −1 | 6 |
| 14 |  Pamba Jiji | 7 | −5 | 4 |
| 15 |  Fountain Gate | 6 | −7 | 4 |
| 16 | Kagera Sugar | 6 | −9 | 2 |
Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.