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Dodoma Jiji v Singida Black Stars

Dodoma Jiji

1–1Full time

Singida Black Stars

Ligi kuu Bara · FRI 9 OCT · Jamhuri Stadium

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 19:31

Dodoma Jiji 1–1 Singida Black Stars SINGIDA BLACK STARS WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Singida Black Stars win~~43%

~~The market said~~52%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.796

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.827

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay0 notes · 3 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Singida Black Stars win at 43%.
70′SECOND HALF Dodoma Jiji 1–1 Singida Black Stars
81′🟥 RED CARD · 81' -1 · Singida Black Stars
FTFULL TIME Dodoma Jiji 1–1 Singida Black Stars
FTDodoma Jiji 1–1 Singida Black Stars · Singida Black Stars win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Dodoma Jiji win30%

Draw28%

Singida Black Stars win43%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 17:00

Venue · Jamhuri Stadium

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Dodoma Jiji

Formation not confirmed

39 M. Mbisa

24 A. Banda

13 A. Kimweli

5 H. Beya

3 A. Bikoko

11 W. Edgar

40 G. Kamagi

28 S. Khleffin

27 N. Munganga

9 Y. Mgaza

21 I. Kipagwile

Coach · –

Substitutes

31 · A. Salim

29 · M. Issa

10 · D. Saliboko

14 · M. Kibuta

16 · B. Ngassa

53 · F. Kayanda

59 · E. Tepsi

26 · A. Nsata

60 · O. Shaban

19 · A. M. Ngalema

Singida Black Stars

Formation not confirmed

39 M. Mnata

28 A. Assa

40 H. Bakari

27 B. Tanimu

13 I. Imoro

21 S. Sacko

3 E. Keyekeh

24 D. Kambou

11 D. Henry

5 M. Tegisi

9 J. Mboma Kinda

Coach · –

Substitutes

16 · Y. Amosi

– · A. Zakaria

– · C. Ande

48 · R. Shomari

22 · S. Ibrahim

– · D. Kaseke

– · Y. Adam

– · J. Sowah

43 · I. Athuman

33 · M. Hassan

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Dodoma Jiji

Formation not confirmed

39 M. Mbisa

24 A. Banda

13 A. Kimweli

5 H. Beya

3 A. Bikoko

11 W. Edgar

40 G. Kamagi

28 S. Khleffin

27 N. Munganga

9 Y. Mgaza

21 I. Kipagwile

Coach · –

Substitutes

31 · A. Salim

29 · M. Issa

10 · D. Saliboko

14 · M. Kibuta

16 · B. Ngassa

53 · F. Kayanda

59 · E. Tepsi

26 · A. Nsata

60 · O. Shaban

19 · A. M. Ngalema

Singida Black Stars

Formation not confirmed

39 M. Mnata

28 A. Assa

40 H. Bakari

27 B. Tanimu

13 I. Imoro

21 S. Sacko

3 E. Keyekeh

24 D. Kambou

11 D. Henry

5 M. Tegisi

9 J. Mboma Kinda

Coach · –

Substitutes

16 · Y. Amosi

– · A. Zakaria

– · C. Ande

48 · R. Shomari

22 · S. Ibrahim

– · D. Kaseke

– · Y. Adam

– · J. Sowah

43 · I. Athuman

33 · M. Hassan

Our number · singida black stars winPublished 9 Oct 17:06

43% The market52%

Us43%

~~Market~~52%

We make Singida Black Stars a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 52%. We are 9 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.1–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · singida black stars win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 52% now.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dodoma Jiji win	30%	20%	+10
Draw	28%	28%	−1
Singida Black Stars win	43%	52%	−9
Over 2.5 goals	46%	42%	+4
Both teams to score	51%	46%	+5
Over 1.5 goals	72%	67%	+5
Over 3.5 goals	25%	23%	+2
Dodoma Jiji or draw	57%	48%	+9
Dodoma Jiji clean sheet	25%	–	–
Singida Black Stars clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 8 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.9%

0123450 8.9 10.7 7.8 3.7 1 8.6 12.9 8.5 4.0 2 5.1 6.9 4.8 2.2 3 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dodoma Jiji down, Singida Black Stars across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,265 Ligi kuu Bara matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Ligi kuu Bara matches have gone over 2.5 in 42.3% of games this season, across 52 played.

Head to head

4 previous meetings, 3.25 goals a meeting; 3 of 4 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dodoma Jiji at home: 0.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). Singida Black Stars away: 1.17 scored, 2.17 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.12 goals for Dodoma Jiji, 1.40 for Singida Black Stars. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2024

~~Goals a meeting~~3.25

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 4

~~Both scored~~3 of 4

~~Last meetings~~SIN 5–0 DOD · DOD 1–1 SIN · DOD 1–2 SIN · SIN 2–1 DOD

Form · last six in Ligi kuu Bara

DODOMA JIJI

DLLWWW1–1 · 0–2 · 0–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0

SINGIDA BLACK STARS

WDLWWL3–0 · 1–1 · 1–2 · 4–2 · 3–2 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Young Africans	6	+14	18
2	Simba	6	+9	18
3	Azam	7	+4	14
4	Mashujaa	7	+1	12
5	Singida Black Stars	6	+4	10
6	Mbeya City	6	+2	10
7	Polisi Tanzania	7	+1	10
8	Dodoma Jiji	6	0	10
9	Namungo	8	−4	9
10	Geita Gold	7	−3	7
11	JKT Tanzania	6	−3	7
12	Coastal Union	6	−3	7
13	Tabora United	7	−1	6
14	Pamba Jiji	7	−5	4
15	Fountain Gate	6	−7	4
16	Kagera Sugar	6	−9	2