Dodoma Jiji v JKT Tanzania prediction · Ligi kuu Bara

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Dodoma JijiDrawJKT Tanzania

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 18:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Dodoma Jiji 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dodoma Jiji are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dodoma Jiji 39%, draw 33%, JKT Tanzania 28%. Over 2.5 goals 31%, both teams to score 38%.

The AI’s read on Dodoma Jiji v JKT TanzaniaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

Dodoma Jiji win39%

Draw33%

JKT Tanzania win28%

Kick-offTUE 27 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 10

VenueJamhuri Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dodoma Jiji

JKT Tanzania

11Days since last match3

Last match: 16 Oct · Ligi kuu Bara

Last match: 24 Oct · Ligi kuu Bara

1Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
4	JKT Tanzania	9	0	16
5	Dodoma Jiji	8	+3	14

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dodoma jiji winFirst published 21 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Dodoma Jiji a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–0.9, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Dodoma Jiji v JKT Tanzania~~1.08 – 0.87

~~Form · last six in Ligi kuu Bara this season · since 25 Aug~~W4 D1 L1 · W5 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 14 v 16~~5 v 4

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Dodoma Jiji win	39%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
JKT Tanzania win	28%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	31%	–	–
Both teams to score	38%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	58%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	13%	–	–
Dodoma Jiji or draw	72%	–	–
Dodoma Jiji clean sheet	42%	–	–
JKT Tanzania clean sheet	35%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 15.4%

0123450 15.4 11.7 5.4 1 14.6 13.8 5.7 2 8.2 7.0 3.1 3 3.0 2.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Dodoma Jiji down, JKT Tanzania across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,280 Ligi kuu Bara matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Ligi kuu Bara matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.3% of games this season, across 67 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 6 previous meetings since 2023/24 in every competition we cover, 1.17 goals a meeting; 1 of 6 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Dodoma Jiji at home: 0.67 scored, 0.50 conceded a game (last 6). JKT Tanzania away: 0.83 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.08 goals for Dodoma Jiji, 0.87 for JKT Tanzania. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2023/24

~~Goals a meeting~~1.17

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 6

~~Both scored~~1 of 6

~~Last meetings~~DOD 0–0 JKT · JKT 0–1 DOD · JKT 2–2 DOD · DOD 1–0 JKT

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Ligi kuu Bara this season · since 25 Aug

DODOMA JIJI

LWWWDW0–1 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 3–0

JKT TANZANIA

WWLWWW2–1 · 3–0 · 1–2 · 2–1 · 2–1 · 1–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Simba	8	+15	24
2	Young Africans	8	+13	19
3	Azam	8	+6	17
4	JKT Tanzania	9	0	16
5	Dodoma Jiji	8	+3	14
6	Polisi Tanzania	9	+1	12
7	Namungo	9	−3	12
8	Mashujaa	8	−4	12
9	Singida Black Stars	8	+3	11
10	Mbeya City	8	−1	10
11	Coastal Union	9	−5	10
12	Tabora United	8	−1	7
13	Geita Gold	8	−6	7
14	Pamba Jiji	9	−5	6
15	Kagera Sugar	9	−8	6
16	Fountain Gate	8	−8	5