Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1
Back

Home › Football › Vysshaya Liga › Regar-TadAZ v Barki Tajik

Tajikistan flag

Regar-TadAZ v Barki Tajik

Regar-TadAZ
2–0Full time
Barki Tajik

Vysshaya Liga · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 15:38
Regar-TadAZ 2–0 Barki Tajik REGAR-TADAZ WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Regar-TadAZ win48%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.410

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Regar-TadAZ win at 48%.
  2. 8′Little has changed for our model: Regar-TadAZ 48% before kick-off, 47% now. 0–0 · 47–30–23
  3. 45′We said Regar-TadAZ at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 36–45–19
  4. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Regar-TadAZ win: 48% at kick-off, 36% now
  5. 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Draw is now our likeliest result at 45% (was Regar-TadAZ win 36%)
  6. 45′HALF-TIME Regar-TadAZ 0–0 Barki Tajik
  7. 52′We said Regar-TadAZ at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–0 · 33–49–18
  8. 52′SECOND HALF Regar-TadAZ 0–0 Barki Tajik
  9. 69′We said Regar-TadAZ at 48%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 22%. 0–0 · 22–65–13
  10. 69′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 69' Regar-TadAZ win: 48% at kick-off, 22% now
  11. 85′⚽ GOAL · 83' Regar-TadAZ 1–0 Barki Tajik
  12. 90′83′ and it is 1–0: Regar-TadAZ have scored. 1–0 · 100–0–0
  13. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90' Regar-TadAZ win: 48% at kick-off, 100% now
  14. 90′THE CALL SWINGS · 90' Regar-TadAZ win is now our likeliest result at 100% (was Draw 0%)
  15. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Regar-TadAZ 1–0 Barki Tajik
  16. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Regar-TadAZ 2–0 Barki Tajik
  17. FTFULL TIME Regar-TadAZ 2–0 Barki Tajik
  18. FTRegar-TadAZ 2–0 Barki Tajik · Regar-TadAZ win: right · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–0 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Regar-TadAZ win48%
Draw29%
Barki Tajik win23%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · regar-tadaz winPublished 10 Oct 13:12
48% The market–
Us48%

We make Regar-TadAZ a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–0.8, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 15%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Regar-TadAZ win48%––
Draw29%––
Barki Tajik win23%––
Over 2.5 goals35%––
Both teams to score40%––
Over 1.5 goals62%––
Over 3.5 goals17%––
Regar-TadAZ or draw77%––
Regar-TadAZ clean sheet45%––
Barki Tajik clean sheet28%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 15.4%
0123450 12.9 9.5 4.0 1 15.4 12.6 5.0 2 10.2 8.0 3.2 3 4.5 3.5 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Regar-TadAZ down, Barki Tajik across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2024
Goals a meeting1.80
Over 2.52 of 5
Both scored2 of 5
Last meetingsBAR 1–4 REG · REG 0–0 BAR · BAR 0–1 REG · REG 0–0 BAR

Form · last six in Vysshaya Liga

REGAR-TADAZ

WWWLDW1–0 · 1–0 · 3–0 · 0–1 · 0–0 · 1–0

BARKI TAJIK

WDDDWW2–0 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 4–1 · 2–0

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Khosilot Farkhor17+1734
2Istiqlol16+1534
3Regar-TadAZ16+1234
4Khujand17+527
5Barki Tajik16+124
6CSKA Pomir15024
7Ravshan17+422
8Khatlon17020
9Eskhata17−1019
10Parvoz18−1815
11Sardor Tursunzoda16−811
12Istaravshan16−186

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.