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Parvoz v Khujand

Parvoz

0–1Full time

Khujand

Vysshaya Liga · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 14:02

Parvoz 0–1 Khujand KHUJAND WIN · RIGHTUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said Khujand win~~50%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.371

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Parvoz win22%

Draw28%

Khujand win50%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 11:30

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · khujand winPublished 9 Oct 11:32

50% The market–

Us50%

We make Khujand a 50% chance to win. The model expects 0.8–1.4, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 14%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Parvoz win	22%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Khujand win	50%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	40%	–	–
Both teams to score	43%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	66%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	20%	–	–
Parvoz or draw	50%	–	–
Parvoz clean sheet	25%	–	–
Khujand clean sheet	44%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 14.4%

0123450 11.1 14.4 10.4 5.1 1 8.4 12.4 8.5 4.1 2 3.7 5.1 3.6 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Parvoz down, Khujand across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 719 Vysshaya Liga matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Vysshaya Liga matches have gone over 2.5 in 43.9% of games this season, across 98 played.

Head to head

1 previous meetings, 2.00 goals a meeting; 0 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Parvoz at home: 0.83 scored, 2.00 conceded a game (last 6). Khujand away: 0.67 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.84 goals for Parvoz, 1.44 for Khujand. Most likely score 0–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2026

~~Goals a meeting~~2.00

~~Over 2.5~~0 of 1

~~Both scored~~0 of 1

~~Last meetings~~KHU 0–2 PAR

Form · last six in Vysshaya Liga

PARVOZ

DLLLWL1–1 · 2–4 · 0–3 · 0–4 · 3–2 · 0–2

KHUJAND

LWDWDW0–1 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 2–0 · 0–0 · 1–0

The table

2026

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Khosilot Farkhor	17	+17	34
2	Istiqlol	16	+15	34
3	Regar-TadAZ	16	+12	34
4	Khujand	16	+4	24
5	Barki Tajik	16	+1	24
6	CSKA Pomir	15	0	24
7	Ravshan	17	+4	22
8	Khatlon	17	0	20
9	Eskhata	17	−10	19
10	Parvoz	17	−17	15
11	Sardor Tursunzoda	16	−8	11
12	Istaravshan	16	−18	6