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Istaravshan v CSKA Pomir

Istaravshan
0–1Full time
CSKA Pomir

Vysshaya Liga · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 10 Oct 14:35
Istaravshan 0–1 CSKA Pomir CSKA POMIR WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said CSKA Pomir win54%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.319

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay5 notes · 11 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said CSKA Pomir win at 54%.
  2. 10′Much as we predicted: CSKA Pomir was 54% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 22–26–53
  3. 45′We said CSKA Pomir at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 42%. 0–0 · 20–38–42
  4. 45′HALF-TIME Istaravshan 0–0 CSKA Pomir
  5. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' CSKA Pomir win: 54% at kick-off, 42% now
  6. 48′SECOND HALF Istaravshan 0–0 CSKA Pomir
  7. 53′We said CSKA Pomir at 54%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 0–0 · 19–43–38
  8. 53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was CSKA Pomir win 38%)
  9. 63′🟥 RED CARD · 61' CSKA Pomir
  10. 70′🟥 RED CARD · 61' CSKA Pomir
  11. 73′CSKA Pomir are down to ten from 61′. Our number never saw that coming — nothing here adjusts for it. 0–0 · 13–64–24
  12. 73′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 73' CSKA Pomir win: 54% at kick-off, 24% now
  13. 90′90′ and it is 0–0: CSKA Pomir have scored. 0–0 · 0–100–0
  14. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Istaravshan 0–0 CSKA Pomir
  15. 90′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90' CSKA Pomir win: 54% at kick-off, 0% now
  16. 90′⚽ GOAL · 90' Istaravshan 0–1 CSKA Pomir
  17. FTFULL TIME Istaravshan 0–1 CSKA Pomir
  18. FTIstaravshan 0–1 CSKA Pomir · CSKA Pomir win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Istaravshan win22%
Draw24%
CSKA Pomir win54%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 12:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · cska pomir winPublished 10 Oct 12:19
54% The market–
Us54%

We make CSKA Pomir a 54% chance to win. The model expects 1.0–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Istaravshan win22%––
Draw24%––
CSKA Pomir win54%––
Over 2.5 goals51%––
Both teams to score51%––
Over 1.5 goals75%––
Over 3.5 goals29%––
Istaravshan or draw46%––
Istaravshan clean sheet19%––
CSKA Pomir clean sheet38%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%
0123450 7.3 11.2 9.7 5.6 2.5 1 6.5 11.3 9.3 5.4 2.4 2 3.4 5.5 4.6 2.7 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Istaravshan down, CSKA Pomir across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

10 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting2.50
Over 2.56 of 10
Both scored7 of 10
Last meetingsCSK 2–1 IST · IST 2–1 CSK · CSK 4–1 IST · CSK 4–1 IST

Form · last six in Vysshaya Liga

ISTARAVSHAN

DLLDLL1–1 · 2–5 · 0–2 · 1–1 · 1–4 · 1–3

CSKA POMIR

LLDDWL1–2 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 1–0 · 0–3

The table

2026
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Khosilot Farkhor17+1734
2Istiqlol16+1534
3Regar-TadAZ16+1234
4Khujand17+527
5Barki Tajik16+124
6CSKA Pomir15024
7Ravshan17+422
8Khatlon17020
9Eskhata17−1019
10Parvoz18−1815
11Sardor Tursunzoda16−811
12Istaravshan16−186

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.