Pitchside Lab
Model 1.1
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Wathba v Hottin

Wathba
1–1Full time
Hottin

Premier League · FRI 9 OCT

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 15:49
Wathba 1–1 Hottin WATHBA WIN · WRONGUNDER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–0 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Wathba win61%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.962

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Wathba win61%
Draw25%
Hottin win14%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 10:02

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wathba winPublished 9 Oct 13:02
61% The market–
Us61%

We make Wathba a 61% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–0.6, and 1–0 is the single most likely score at 18%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Wathba win61%––
Draw25%––
Hottin win14%––
Over 2.5 goals37%––
Both teams to score35%––
Over 1.5 goals64%––
Over 3.5 goals18%––
Wathba or draw86%––
Wathba clean sheet56%––
Hottin clean sheet21%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–0 at 17.9%
0123450 11.8 6.8 2.1 1 17.9 10.2 3.1 2 13.9 8.0 2.4 3 7.5 4.3 4 3.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Wathba down, Hottin across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

11 meetings since 2021
Goals a meeting1.09
Over 2.50 of 11
Both scored0 of 11
Last meetingsWAT 2–0 HOT · HOT 0–0 WAT · HOT 2–0 WAT · WAT 0–0 HOT

Form · last six in Premier League

WATHBA

WWWWWW2–1 · 2–0 · 1–0 · 4–0 · 3–0 · 1–0

HOTTIN

WLWLLL2–1 · 0–2 · 1–0 · 0–4 · 2–3 · 0–1

The table

No league table for this competition.