Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Premier League › Shorta v Wathba

Back
Syria flag

Shorta v Wathba

Shorta
13:00Upcoming
Wathba

Premier League · FRI 30 OCT · Tishreen Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

ShortaDrawWathba
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Wathba 59%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Wathba are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Shorta 16%, draw 25%, Wathba 59%. Over 2.5 goals 38%, both teams to score 36%.

The AI’s read on Shorta v WathbaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Shorta win16%
Draw25%
Wathba win59%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 4

VenueTishreen Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Shorta

Wathba

6Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Premier League (Syria)

Last match: 23 Oct · AFC Challenge League

2Matches in previous 14 days3

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
2Shorta3+37
11Wathba101

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wathba winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · updated 25 Oct 00:25 · locked at kick-off
59% The market–
Us59%

We make Wathba a 59% chance to win. The model expects 0.6–1.6, and 0–1 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Shorta v Wathba0.65 – 1.58
Form · Premier League this season · since 9 OctW2 D1 L0 · W0 D1 L0
Table places · points 7 v 12 v 11

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65% 24 OCT 00:0225 OCT 03:19
Our probability · Wathba win

Published at 60%, 59% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Shorta win16%––
Draw25%––
Wathba win59%––
Over 2.5 goals38%––
Both teams to score36%––
Over 1.5 goals64%––
Over 3.5 goals19%––
Shorta or draw41%––
Shorta clean sheet22%––
Wathba clean sheet53%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–1 at 17.1%
0123450 11.2 17.1 13.1 7.1 3.0 1 7.3 10.5 8.1 4.3 2 2.5 3.6 2.7 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Shorta down, Wathba across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2020/21
Goals a meeting3.14
Over 2.55 of 7
Both scored5 of 7
Last meetingsWAT 5–1 SHO · SHO 1–2 WAT · SHO 1–2 WAT · WAT 1–1 SHO

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 9 Oct

SHORTA

DWW0–0 · 1–0 · 3–1

WATHBA

D1–1

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Karama3+47
2Shorta3+37
3Hottin3+15
4Horriya304
5Al Wahda304
6Jaish304
7Al Ittihad1+23
8Damascus Al-Ahli2+13
9Qamishli3−13
10Al Nawaeir2−23
11Wathba101
12Tishreen2−11
13Al Taliya2−21
14Foutoua3−50

The competition's standings before kick-off.