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Model 1.1

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Horriya v Al Ittihad

Horriya
1–3Full time
Al Ittihad

Premier League · SAT 10 OCT

Full timeGraded 12 Oct 03:25
Horriya 1–3 Al Ittihad AL ITTIHAD WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG0–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Al Ittihad win66%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.178

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

Horriya win15%
Draw19%
Al Ittihad win66%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 10:02

Match information

SAT 10 OCT · 13:00

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al ittihad winPublished 10 Oct 23:45
66% The market–
Us66%

We make Al Ittihad a 66% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–2.2, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Horriya win15%––
Draw19%––
Al Ittihad win66%––
Over 2.5 goals58%––
Both teams to score50%––
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals36%––
Horriya or draw34%––
Horriya clean sheet13%––
Al Ittihad clean sheet42%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 10.8%
0123450 5.3 10.5 10.8 7.7 4.4 2.11 4.6 9.0 9.1 6.4 3.6 2 2.1 4.0 4.1 2.8 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Horriya down, Al Ittihad across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

6 meetings since 2020
Goals a meeting1.83
Over 2.52 of 6
Both scored2 of 6
Last meetingsALI 1–0 HOR · HOR 1–5 ALI · ALI 2–1 HOR · HOR 0–1 ALI

Form · last six in Premier League

HORRIYA

WLLDLW1–0 · 0–1 · 2–3 · 1–1 · 0–1 · 1–0

AL ITTIHAD

WWDWWW5–0 · 1–0 · 1–1 · 4–0 · 4–1 · 2–0

The table

No league table for this competition.

Last updated 2026-10-10 17:40 UTC.