Foutoua v Jaish prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FoutouaDrawJaish

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Foutoua 37%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Foutoua just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Foutoua 37%, draw 28%, Jaish 35%. Over 2.5 goals 41%, both teams to score 46%.

The AI’s read on Foutoua v JaishBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Foutoua win37%

Draw28%

Jaish win35%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Foutoua

Jaish

6Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · Premier League (Syria)

Last match: 23 Oct · Premier League (Syria)

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
6	Jaish	3	0	4
14	Foutoua	2	−3	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · foutoua winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

37% The market–

Us37%

We make Foutoua a 37% chance to win. The model expects 1.2–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 13%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Foutoua v Jaish~~1.19 – 1.14

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 9 Oct~~W0 D0 L3 · W1 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 0 v 4~~14 v 6

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Foutoua win	37%	–	–
Draw	28%	–	–
Jaish win	35%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	41%	–	–
Both teams to score	46%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	67%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	21%	–	–
Foutoua or draw	65%	–	–
Foutoua clean sheet	33%	–	–
Jaish clean sheet	31%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.7%

0123450 10.1 11.2 6.3 2.5 1 11.7 12.7 7.2 2.8 2 6.9 7.6 4.3 3 2.8 3.1 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Foutoua down, Jaish across0–5 goals a side shown (99.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 942 Premier League matches up to 23 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.70 goals a meeting; 6 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Foutoua at home: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Jaish away: 0.50 scored, 1.00 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.19 goals for Foutoua, 1.14 for Jaish. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.70

~~Over 2.5~~6 of 10

~~Both scored~~5 of 10

~~Last meetings~~JAI 1–0 FOU · FOU 3–0 JAI · FOU 4–3 JAI · FOU 3–1 JAI

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 9 Oct

FOUTOUA

LLL0–2 · 0–1 · 1–3

JAISH

LWD0–1 · 1–0 · 1–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Karama	3	+4	7
2	Hottin	3	+1	5
3	Shorta	2	+1	4
4	Horriya	3	0	4
5	Al Wahda	3	0	4
6	Jaish	3	0	4
7	Al Ittihad	1	+2	3
8	Damascus Al-Ahli	2	+1	3
9	Qamishli	3	−1	3
10	Al Nawaeir	2	−2	3
11	Wathba	1	0	1
12	Tishreen	2	−1	1
13	Al Taliya	2	−2	1
14	Foutoua	2	−3	0