Foutoua v Al Wahda prediction · Premier League

Full timeGraded 19 Oct 15:31

Foutoua 0–1 Al Wahda AL WAHDA WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Al Wahda win~~51%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.353

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay10 notes · 12 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said Al Wahda win at 51%.
1′Little has changed for our model: Al Wahda 51% before kick-off, 51% now. 0–0 · 25–23–51
1′KICK-OFF Foutoua v Al Wahda
43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Al Wahda win: 51% at kick-off, 41% now
45′HALF-TIME Foutoua 0–0 Al Wahda
46′SECOND HALF Foutoua 0–0 Al Wahda
48′We said Al Wahda at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 22–39–39
53′THE CALL SWINGS · 53' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Al Wahda win 40%)
55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 2.9 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 21–43–36
58′We said Al Wahda at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 20–46–34
63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Al Wahda win: 51% at kick-off, 31% now
67′We said Al Wahda at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 17–54–29
72′We said Al Wahda at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 15–61–24
75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Al Wahda win: 51% at kick-off, 21% now
77′We said Al Wahda at 51%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 12–69–19
80′A goal for Al Wahda on 80′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 1–9–90
80′We said Al Wahda at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
80′⚽ GOAL · 80' Foutoua 0–1 Al Wahda
80′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 80' Al Wahda win: 51% at kick-off, 90% now
80′THE CALL SWINGS · 80' Al Wahda win is now our likeliest result at 90% (was Draw 72%)
81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Al Wahda win: 51% at kick-off, 91% now
87′We said Al Wahda at 51% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
FTFULL TIME Foutoua 0–1 Al Wahda
FTFoutoua 0–1 Al Wahda · Al Wahda win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Wahda are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Foutoua 25%, draw 23%, Al Wahda 51%. Over 2.5 goals 54%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Foutoua v Al WahdaBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

Foutoua win25%

Draw23%

Al Wahda win51%

Kick-offMON 19 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 2

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Foutoua

Al Wahda

10Days since last match10

Last match: 9 Oct · Premier League (Syria)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
13	Al Wahda	1	−1	0
14	Foutoua	1	−2	0

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al wahda winFirst published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off

51% The market–

Us51%

We make Al Wahda a 51% chance to win. The model expects 1.1–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Foutoua v Al Wahda~~1.13 – 1.76

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 9 Oct~~W0 D0 L1 · W0 D0 L1

~~Table places · points 0 v 0~~14 v 13

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Foutoua win	25%	–	–
Draw	23%	–	–
Al Wahda win	51%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	54%	–	–
Both teams to score	54%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	77%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Foutoua or draw	49%	–	–
Foutoua clean sheet	19%	–	–
Al Wahda clean sheet	33%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%

0123450 6.1 10.0 8.4 4.9 2.3 1 6.8 10.8 9.1 5.3 2.5 2 3.8 6.1 5.1 3.0 3 2.4 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Foutoua down, Al Wahda across0–5 goals a side shown (98.4% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 937 Premier League matches up to 17 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.2% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 1.50 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Foutoua at home: 1.83 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Al Wahda away: 1.50 scored, 0.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.13 goals for Foutoua, 1.76 for Al Wahda. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~1.50

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~2 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ALW 2–0 FOU · FOU 0–2 ALW · ALW 1–0 FOU · FOU 0–1 ALW

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 9 Oct

FOUTOUA

L0–2

AL WAHDA

L0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Karama	2	+3	4
2	Shorta	2	+1	4
3	Al Ittihad	1	+2	3
4	Damascus Al-Ahli	2	+1	3
5	Jaish	2	0	3
6	Qamishli	2	0	3
7	Al Nawaeir	2	−2	3
8	Hottin	2	0	2
9	Wathba	1	0	1
10	Al Taliya	1	0	1
11	Tishreen	1	0	1
12	Horriya	2	−2	1
13	Al Wahda	1	−1	0
14	Foutoua	1	−2	0