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Damascus Al-Ahli v Shorta
Damascus Al-AhliShortaPremier League · FRI 16 OCT
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Damascus Al-Ahli win at 48%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Damascus Al-Ahli was 48% before kick-off and our model makes it 48% now. 0–0 · 48–26–26
- 1′KICK-OFF Damascus Al-Ahli v Shorta
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Damascus Al-Ahli win: 48% at kick-off, 38% now
- 45′HALF-TIME Damascus Al-Ahli 0–0 Shorta
- 46′SECOND HALF Damascus Al-Ahli 0–0 Shorta
- 48′We said Damascus Al-Ahli at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 36%. 0–0 · 36–42–22
- 48′THE CALL SWINGS · 45+3' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Damascus Al-Ahli win 36%)
- 54′We said Damascus Al-Ahli at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–46–21
- 55′We expected about 2.6 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 33–46–20
- 62′We said Damascus Al-Ahli at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–52–18
- 64′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 64' Damascus Al-Ahli win: 48% at kick-off, 28% now
- 69′We said Damascus Al-Ahli at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–60–16
- 75′We said Damascus Al-Ahli at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–68–13
- 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Damascus Al-Ahli win: 48% at kick-off, 18% now
- 80′We said Damascus Al-Ahli at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–77–9
- 84′We said Damascus Al-Ahli at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–6
- 85′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 85' Damascus Al-Ahli win: 48% at kick-off, 8% now
- 91′We said Damascus Al-Ahli at 48%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–93–3
- 92′Shorta find the net on 90′. 0–1. 0–1 · 0–3–97
- 92′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Damascus Al-Ahli 0–1 Shorta
- 92′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+2' Shorta win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
- FTFULL TIME Damascus Al-Ahli 0–1 Shorta
- FTDamascus Al-Ahli 0–1 Shorta · Damascus Al-Ahli win: wrong · Under 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
PassDamascus Al-Ahli are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Damascus Al-Ahli 48%, draw 26%, Shorta 26%. Over 2.5 goals 47%, both teams to score 49%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 14 Oct 04:28 · locked at kick-off
Damascus Al-Ahli win48%Shorta win26%Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 13:00
RoundMatchday 2
Match timeline
All events
Damascus Al-AhliMINShortaEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Damascus Al-Ahli
Shorta
Last match: 9 Oct · Premier League (Syria)
Last match: 10 Oct · Premier League (Syria)
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
The game in numbers
Match statistics
League table
2026/27Positions before kick-off
| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Damascus Al-Ahli | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 10 | Shorta | 1 | 0 | 1 |
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Damascus Al-Ahli a 48% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Damascus Al-Ahli win | 48% | – | – |
| Draw | 26% | – | – |
| Shorta win | 26% | – | – |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% | – | – |
| Both teams to score | 49% | – | – |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% | – | – |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% | – | – |
| Damascus Al-Ahli or draw | 74% | – | – |
| Damascus Al-Ahli clean sheet | 36% | – | – |
| Shorta clean sheet | 23% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
2 meetings since 2025/26Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · Premier League this season · since 9 Oct
DAMASCUS AL-AHLI
SHORTA
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al Ittihad | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 2 | Damascus Al-Ahli | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 3 |  Al Nawaeir | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 4 |  Jaish | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 |  Qamishli | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 |  Hottin | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 |  Wathba | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 |  Al Karama | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 |  Al Taliya | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Shorta | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 |  Tishreen | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 |  Al Wahda | 1 | −1 | 0 |
| 13 |  Horriya | 1 | −2 | 0 |
| 14 |  Foutoua | 1 | −2 | 0 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.