Al Taliya v Tishreen prediction · Premier League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al TaliyaDrawTishreen

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Al Taliya 36%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Al Taliya just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Taliya 36%, draw 33%, Tishreen 31%. Over 2.5 goals 26%, both teams to score 34%.

The AI’s read on Al Taliya v TishreenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Al Taliya win36%

Draw33%

Tishreen win31%

Kick-offFRI 30 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 4

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Taliya

Tishreen

7Days since last match7

Last match: 23 Oct · Premier League (Syria)

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
12	Tishreen	2	−1	1
13	Al Taliya	2	−2	1

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al taliya winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

36% The market–

Us36%

We make Al Taliya a 36% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–0.8, and 0–0 is the single most likely score at 17%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Al Taliya v Tishreen~~0.93 – 0.85

~~Form · Premier League this season · since 10 Oct~~W0 D1 L1 · W0 D1 L1

~~Table places · points 1 v 1~~13 v 12

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Al Taliya win	36%	–	–
Draw	33%	–	–
Tishreen win	31%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	26%	–	–
Both teams to score	34%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	53%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	11%	–	–
Al Taliya or draw	69%	–	–
Al Taliya clean sheet	43%	–	–
Tishreen clean sheet	40%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–0 at 17.4%

0123450 17.4 14.4 6.1 1 15.6 12.8 5.5 2 7.3 6.0 2.6 3 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Al Taliya down, Tishreen across0–5 goals a side shown (99.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 943 Premier League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Premier League matches have gone over 2.5 in 41.0% of games recently, across 400 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.20 goals a meeting; 5 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Al Taliya at home: 1.17 scored, 0.83 conceded a game (last 6). Tishreen away: 0.33 scored, 1.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

0.93 goals for Al Taliya, 0.85 for Tishreen. Most likely score 0–0.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.20

~~Over 2.5~~5 of 10

~~Both scored~~4 of 10

~~Last meetings~~ALT 2–2 TIS · TIS 2–2 ALT · TIS 0–2 ALT · ALT 0–1 TIS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 10 Oct

AL TALIYA

DL0–0 · 0–2

TISHREEN

DL0–0 · 0–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Al Karama	3	+4	7
2	Hottin	3	+1	5
3	Shorta	2	+1	4
4	Horriya	3	0	4
5	Al Wahda	3	0	4
6	Jaish	3	0	4
7	Al Ittihad	1	+2	3
8	Damascus Al-Ahli	2	+1	3
9	Qamishli	3	−1	3
10	Al Nawaeir	2	−2	3
11	Wathba	1	0	1
12	Tishreen	2	−1	1
13	Al Taliya	2	−2	1
14	Foutoua	2	−3	0