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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Premier League › Al Ittihad v Qamishli

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Al Ittihad v Qamishli

Al Ittihad
13:00Upcoming
Qamishli

Premier League · THU 29 OCT · Aleppo International Stadium

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

Al IttihadDrawQamishli
Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 13:00
Before kick-off · Match result · Al Ittihad 79%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Al Ittihad are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Al Ittihad 79%, draw 13%, Qamishli 8%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 45%.

The AI’s read on Al Ittihad v QamishliBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off

Al Ittihad win79%
Draw13%
Qamishli win8%

Kick-offTHU 29 OCT · 13:00

RoundMatchday 4

VenueAleppo International Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Al Ittihad

Qamishli

6Days since last match6

Last match: 23 Oct · AFC Challenge League

Last match: 23 Oct · Premier League (Syria)

3Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
7Al Ittihad1+23
9Qamishli3−13

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · al ittihad winFirst published 24 Oct 00:02 · locked at kick-off
79% The market–
Us79%

We make Al Ittihad a 79% chance to win. The model expects 2.9–0.7, and 2–0 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Al Ittihad v Qamishli2.91 – 0.69
Form · Premier League this season · since 9 OctW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L2
Table places · points 3 v 37 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Al Ittihad win79%––
Draw13%––
Qamishli win8%––
Over 2.5 goals67%––
Both teams to score45%––
Over 1.5 goals85%––
Over 3.5 goals47%––
Al Ittihad or draw92%––
Al Ittihad clean sheet51%––
Qamishli clean sheet7%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–0 at 11.1%
0123450 3.4 2.7 1 8.8 6.0 2.3 2 11.1 7.6 2.8 3 10.1 6.7 2.3 4 7.4 4.7 5 4.7 2.9
under 2% 5% 12%+Al Ittihad down, Qamishli across0–5 goals a side shown (90.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Premier League this season · since 9 Oct

AL ITTIHAD

W3–1

QAMISHLI

WLL1–0 · 0–1 · 1–2

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Al Karama3+47
2Shorta3+37
3Hottin3+15
4Horriya304
5Al Wahda304
6Jaish304
7Al Ittihad1+23
8Damascus Al-Ahli2+13
9Qamishli3−13
10Al Nawaeir2−23
11Wathba101
12Tishreen2−11
13Al Taliya2−21
14Foutoua3−50

The competition's standings before kick-off.