Grasshoppers v FC Vaduz prediction · Super League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

GrasshoppersDrawFC Vaduz

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · Grasshoppers 39%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Close to call, with Grasshoppers just ahead.

The Pitchside prediction: Grasshoppers 39%, draw 24%, FC Vaduz 37%. Over 2.5 goals 62%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Grasshoppers v FC VaduzBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

Grasshoppers win39%

Draw24%

FC Vaduz win37%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueLetzigrund Stadion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Grasshoppers

FC Vaduz

14Days since last match7

Last match: 17 Oct · Schweizer Cup

Last match: 24 Oct · the Swiss Super League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
10	FC Vaduz	11	−1	9
11	Grasshoppers	10	−13	8

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · grasshoppers winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

39% The market–

Us39%

We make Grasshoppers a 39% chance to win. The model expects 1.6–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Grasshoppers v FC Vaduz~~1.63 – 1.60

~~Form · last six in Super League this season · since 2 Sept~~W2 D1 L3 · W2 D0 L4

~~Table places · points 8 v 9~~11 v 10

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Grasshoppers win	39%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
FC Vaduz win	37%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	62%	–	–
Both teams to score	64%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	83%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	40%	–	–
Grasshoppers or draw	63%	–	–
Grasshoppers clean sheet	21%	–	–
FC Vaduz clean sheet	20%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.6%

0123450 4.5 6.0 5.1 2.7 1 6.2 10.6 8.1 4.4 2 5.3 8.3 6.5 3.5 3 2.9 4.5 3.6 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Grasshoppers down, FC Vaduz across0–5 goals a side shown (98.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,117 Super League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.2% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 1 previous meeting since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 7.00 goals a meeting; 1 of 1 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Grasshoppers at home: 1.33 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). FC Vaduz away: 1.33 scored, 2.50 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.63 goals for Grasshoppers, 1.60 for FC Vaduz. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~7.00

~~Over 2.5~~1 of 1

~~Both scored~~1 of 1

~~Last meetings~~FCV 5–2 GRA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super League this season · since 2 Sept

GRASSHOPPERS

WDWLLL2–0 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 2–5 · 1–5 · 0–2

FC VADUZ

LWLLWL1–2 · 3–1 · 1–2 · 1–2 · 3–0 · 1–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Lugano	10	+24	28
2	BSC Young Boys	11	+17	25
3	FC Sion	10	+6	19
4	FC Zurich	11	−3	17
5	Servette FC	11	+2	16
6	FC ST. Gallen	11	−4	16
7	FC Basel 1893	10	−3	13
8	FC Luzern	11	−6	12
9	FC Thun	10	−10	10
10	FC Vaduz	11	−1	9
11	Grasshoppers	10	−13	8
12	Lausanne	10	−9	6