Grasshoppers v BSC Young Boys prediction · Super League

Full timeGraded 11 Oct 15:46

Grasshoppers 0–2 BSC Young Boys BSC YOUNG BOYS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · WRONG1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said BSC Young Boys win~~55%

~~The market said~~63%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.303

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.207

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 26 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said BSC Young Boys win at 55%.
1′Much as we predicted: BSC Young Boys was 55% before kick-off and our model makes it 56% now. 0–0 · 24–20–56
1′KICK-OFF Grasshoppers v BSC Young Boys
16′🟨 YELLOW · 17' Armin Gigovic · BSC Young Boys
18′⚽ GOAL · 18' Grasshoppers 0–1 BSC Young Boys
26′🟨 YELLOW · 26' Lewin Blum · BSC Young Boys
29′SUBSTITUTION · 30' BSC Young Boys · On: Bahereba Guirassy · Off: Alan Virginius
35′🟨 YELLOW · 35' Cedric Zesiger · BSC Young Boys
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' BSC Young Boys win: 55% at kick-off, 45% now
45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' BSC Young Boys win: 55% at kick-off, 47% now
45′SECOND HALF Grasshoppers 0–0 BSC Young Boys
45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Grasshoppers · On: Allan Arigoni · Off: Lee Young-Jun
45′SUBSTITUTION · 45' Grasshoppers · On: Nikolas Marcel Cristiano Muci · Off: Óscar Clemente
46′HALF-TIME Grasshoppers 0–0 BSC Young Boys
48′⚽ GOAL · 48' Grasshoppers 0–1 BSC Young Boys
48′⚽ GOAL · 49' Grasshoppers 0–1 BSC Young Boys · Samuel Essende
51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Grasshoppers 0–2 BSC Young Boys · Samuel Essende
51′⚽ GOAL · 52' Grasshoppers 0–2 BSC Young Boys · Christian Fassnacht
63′SUBSTITUTION · 63' Grasshoppers · On: Denis Sahin · Off: Manex Gibelalde
66′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Grasshoppers · On: Giotto Morandi · Off: Kenzo Goudmijn
66′SUBSTITUTION · 67' BSC Young Boys · On: Moritz Jenz · Off: Armin Gigovic
67′SUBSTITUTION · 67' BSC Young Boys · On: Moritz Jenz · Off: Armin Gigovic
77′🟨 YELLOW · 77' Edimilson Fernandes · BSC Young Boys
77′SUBSTITUTION · 77' Grasshoppers · On: Luka Mikulic · Off: Yannick Bettkober
83′SUBSTITUTION · 84' BSC Young Boys · On: Mamadou Kaly·Sene · Off: Christian Fassnacht
84′SUBSTITUTION · 84' BSC Young Boys · On: Edin Etoski · Off: Samuel Essende
91′🟨 YELLOW · 91' Simone Stroscio · Grasshoppers
FTFULL TIME Grasshoppers 0–2 BSC Young Boys
FTGrasshoppers 0–2 BSC Young Boys · BSC Young Boys win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: wrong · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

An AI preview before kick-off and a review after full time, written from our recorded data. It is included with the 30-day pass.

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Pre-match prediction

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Grasshoppers win24%

Draw21%

BSC Young Boys win55%

Kick-offSUN 11 OCT · 13:00

VenueLetzigrund

RefereeSven Wolfensberger

Line-ups

Grasshoppers

4-3-3

BSC Young Boys

4-2-3-1

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · this competition

Grasshoppers

BSC Young Boys

22Days since last match22

0Matches in previous 14 days0

Based on available results in this competition before kick-off.

League table

2026/27

Positions of these teams

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
2	BSC Young Boys	9	+13	19
10	Grasshoppers	9	−11	8

Based on available league results; standings may be incomplete.

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

Grasshoppers

4-3-3

1 M. Hubel

28 S. Stroscio

58 Y. Bettkober

44 B. Pllana

57 N. Rissi

24 K. Goudmijn

66 M. Gibelalde

6 A. Abrashi

10 O. Clemente

18 Lee Young-Jun

17 S. Krasniqi

Coach · Olaf Janssen

Substitutes

71 · J. Hammel

34 · A. Arigoni

25 · J. Hilton

4 · L. Mikulic

11 · G. Morandi

56 · D. Sahin

55 · D. Papic

9 · N. Muci

20 · D. Ferrazza

BSC Young Boys

4-2-3-1

1 M. Keller

27 L. Blum

30 S. Lauper

15 C. Zesiger

22 I. Schmidt

8 A. Gigovic

6 E. Fernandes

16 C. Fassnacht

10 A. Sanches

7 A. Virginius

99 S. Essende

Coach · Gerardo Seoane

Substitutes

18 · J. Mall

17 · S. Janko

4 · M. Jenz

33 · S. Bukinac

52 · N. Tschanz

13 · D. Pech

34 · E. Etoski

9 · M. K. Sene

12 · H. Guirassy

Our number · bsc young boys winPublished 11 Oct 13:14

55% The market63%

Us55%

~~Market~~63%

We make BSC Young Boys a 55% chance to win. The market has them at 63%. We are 8 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.4–2.2.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · bsc young boys win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 60% to 63% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Grasshoppers win	24%	18%	+6
Draw	21%	19%	+2
BSC Young Boys win	55%	63%	−8
Over 2.5 goals	71%	77%	−7
Both teams to score	68%	72%	−4
Over 1.5 goals	88%	90%	−2
Over 3.5 goals	50%	59%	−9
Grasshoppers or draw	45%	37%	+8
Grasshoppers clean sheet	11%	–	–
BSC Young Boys clean sheet	24%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 8.9%

0123450 3.1 5.4 6.3 4.7 2.7 1 3.5 8.5 8.9 6.6 3.7 2 2.7 5.8 6.3 4.7 2.7 3 2.8 3.1 2.3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Grasshoppers down, BSC Young Boys across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number7 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,111 Super League matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 78.9% of games this season, across 57 played.

Head to head

17 previous meetings, 2.59 goals a meeting; 7 of 17 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Grasshoppers at home: 1.83 scored, 2.33 conceded a game (last 6). BSC Young Boys away: 3.67 scored, 1.67 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.44 goals for Grasshoppers, 2.25 for BSC Young Boys. Most likely score 1–2.

Line-ups

Confirmed 11 Oct 13:05. The model does not read them yet, so they did not move this number.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

17 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~2.59

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 17

~~Both scored~~8 of 17

~~Last meetings~~GRA 1–1 BSC · BSC 2–6 GRA · GRA 3–3 BSC · GRA 1–0 BSC

Form · last six in Super League

GRASSHOPPERS

LWDWLL2–5 · 2–0 · 2–2 · 1–0 · 2–5 · 1–5

BSC YOUNG BOYS

WDWDDW4–2 · 3–3 · 4–2 · 3–3 · 2–2 · 3–2

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Lugano	10	+24	28
2	BSC Young Boys	9	+13	19
3	FC Sion	10	+6	19
4	FC Zurich	10	−4	14
5	Servette FC	10	+1	13
6	FC Basel 1893	9	0	13
7	FC ST. Gallen	9	−3	13
8	FC Luzern	10	−5	12
9	FC Thun	10	−10	10
10	Grasshoppers	9	−11	8
11	FC Vaduz	9	−3	6
12	Lausanne	9	−8	6