FC ST. Gallen v Servette FC prediction · Super League

The match pulse

BEFORE KICK-OFF

Match outcome probability (%)

FC ST. GallenDrawServette FC

Our pre-match numbers · the line starts at kick-offKick-off 17:00

Before kick-off · Match result · FC ST. Gallen 44%

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC ST. Gallen are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: FC ST. Gallen 44%, draw 24%, Servette FC 32%. Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 62%.

The AI’s read on FC ST. Gallen v Servette FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

FC ST. Gallen win44%

Draw24%

Servette FC win32%

Kick-offSAT 31 OCT · 17:00

RoundMatchday 12

VenueKybunpark

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

FC ST. Gallen

Servette FC

7Days since last match7

Last match: 24 Oct · the Swiss Super League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Club friendlies are not counted.

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
5	Servette FC	11	+2	16
6	FC ST. Gallen	11	−4	16

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · fc st. gallen winFirst published 25 Oct 01:45 · locked at kick-off

44% The market–

Us44%

We make FC ST. Gallen a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · FC ST. Gallen v Servette FC~~1.70 – 1.42

~~Form · last six in Super League this season · since 6 Sept~~W3 D0 L3 · W4 D0 L2

~~Table places · points 16 v 16~~6 v 5

Built from every result and the chances each side creates and concedes, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
FC ST. Gallen win	44%	–	–
Draw	24%	–	–
Servette FC win	32%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	60%	–	–
Both teams to score	62%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	82%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	38%	–	–
FC ST. Gallen or draw	68%	–	–
FC ST. Gallen clean sheet	24%	–	–
Servette FC clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.0%

0123450 5.0 5.9 4.5 2.1 1 7.2 11.0 7.5 3.6 2 6.4 8.9 6.3 3.0 3 3.6 5.0 3.6 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+FC ST. Gallen down, Servette FC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from the goals and expected goals of 1,117 Super League matches up to 24 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: Super League matches have gone over 2.5 in 76.2% of games this season, across 63 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: the last 10 meetings in every competition we cover, 2.60 goals a meeting; 2 of 10 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

FC ST. Gallen at home: 1.50 scored, 1.83 conceded a game (last 6). Servette FC away: 1.67 scored, 1.33 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.70 goals for FC ST. Gallen, 1.42 for Servette FC. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings

~~Goals a meeting~~2.60

~~Over 2.5~~2 of 10

~~Both scored~~6 of 10

~~Last meetings~~SER 0–2 FCS · SER 1–1 FCS · FCS 2–4 SER · SER 1–4 FCS

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in Super League this season · since 6 Sept

FC ST. GALLEN

WLLWWL2–0 · 0–3 · 1–4 · 3–1 · 1–0 · 0–2

SERVETTE FC

LWWLWW0–2 · 1–0 · 4–2 · 2–3 · 3–0 · 2–1

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	FC Lugano	10	+24	28
2	BSC Young Boys	11	+17	25
3	FC Sion	10	+6	19
4	FC Zurich	11	−3	17
5	Servette FC	11	+2	16
6	FC ST. Gallen	11	−4	16
7	FC Basel 1893	10	−3	13
8	FC Luzern	11	−6	12
9	FC Thun	10	−10	10
10	FC Vaduz	11	−1	9
11	Grasshoppers	10	−13	8
12	Lausanne	10	−9	6