Taverne v BSC Young Boys prediction · Schweizer Cup

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 18:02

Taverne 0–5 BSC Young Boys BSC YOUNG BOYS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT0–3 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said BSC Young Boys win~~87%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.025

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay13 notes · 18 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said BSC Young Boys win at 87%.
0′KICK-OFF Taverne v BSC Young Boys
1′Much as we predicted: BSC Young Boys was 87% before kick-off and our model makes it 87% now. 0–0 · 4–9–87
17′BSC Young Boys find the net on 17′. 0–1. 0–1 · 1–4–95
17′⚽ GOAL · 17' Taverne 0–1 BSC Young Boys
22′BSC Young Boys ahead on 16′ through M. Jenz. 0–1. 0–1 · 1–4–95
23′A goal for BSC Young Boys on 23′. 0–1 · 1–4–95
23′We published BSC Young Boys at 87%. Our model now makes it 99%. 0–2 · 0–1–99
23′⚽ GOAL · 23' Taverne 0–2 BSC Young Boys
23′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 23' BSC Young Boys win: 87% at kick-off, 99% now
29′BSC Young Boys score on 29′ to make it 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
29′⚽ GOAL · 29' Taverne 0–3 BSC Young Boys
30′We published BSC Young Boys at 87%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–3 · 0–0–100
32′BSC Young Boys find the net on 32′. 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
32′⚽ GOAL · 32' Taverne 0–4 BSC Young Boys
42′That is 5, and we only asked for 4.2 across ninety minutes. 0–5 · 0–0–100
42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Taverne 0–5 BSC Young Boys
43′A goal for BSC Young Boys on 43′ — 0–5. 0–5 · 0–0–100
45′HALF-TIME Taverne 0–5 BSC Young Boys
45′SECOND HALF Taverne 0–5 BSC Young Boys
50′M. K. Sene scores for BSC Young Boys on 42′ — 0–5. 0–5 · 0–0–100
52′A goal for BSC Young Boys on 51′. 0–5 · 0–0–100
58′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Taverne · On: L. Rosa · Off: L. Rossetto
58′SUBSTITUTION · 46' Taverne · On: C. Bianchi · Off: E. Borghi
58′SUBSTITUTION · 46' BSC Young Boys · On: C. Fassnacht · Off: H. Guirassy
62′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Taverne · On: L. Solzi · Off: V. Pecherskyy
62′SUBSTITUTION · 57' Taverne · On: M. Vasil · Off: J. Sabbatini
72′SUBSTITUTION · 66' BSC Young Boys · On: A. Gigovic · Off: L. Blum
72′SUBSTITUTION · 67' Taverne · On: I. Ivanaj · Off: M. Novoselskiy
73′SUBSTITUTION · 65' BSC Young Boys · On: S. Janko · Off: E. Fernandes
90′Full time, 0–5. We called BSC Young Boys at 87% — that one lands. 0–5 · 0–0–100
FTFULL TIME Taverne 0–5 BSC Young Boys
FTTaverne 0–5 BSC Young Boys · BSC Young Boys win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 0–3 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

BSC Young Boys are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Taverne 4%, draw 9%, BSC Young Boys 87%. Over 2.5 goals 79%, both teams to score 50%.

The AI’s read on Taverne v BSC Young BoysBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Taverne win4%

Draw9%

BSC Young Boys win87%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 15:00

RoundRound of 32

Line-ups

Taverne

BSC Young Boys

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Taverne

BSC Young Boys

8Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Last match: 11 Oct · the Swiss Super League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Taverne

Formation not confirmed

64 S. Di Chiara

45 E. Borghi

13 F. Ivanaj

25 F. Grassi

8 M. Novoselskiy

22 L. Bollati

14 J. Sabbatini

4 V. Pecherskyy

77 A. Bandeira

7 L. Rossetto

11 G. De Donno

Coach · –

Substitutes

18 · F. Cecchinato

27 · F. Festa

5 · G. Stival

23 · I. Ivanaj

15 · S. Nicotera

30 · C. Bianchi

80 · M. Vasil

21 · L. Solzi

9 · L. Rosa

BSC Young Boys

Formation not confirmed

18 J. Mall

27 L. Blum

4 M. Jenz

15 C. Zesiger

33 S. Bukinac

34 E. Etoski

13 D. Pech

6 E. Fernandes

12 H. Guirassy

10 A. Sanches

9 M. K. Sene

Coach · Gerardo Seoane

Substitutes

1 · M. Keller

22 · I. Schmidt

17 · S. Janko

30 · S. Lauper

16 · C. Fassnacht

8 · A. Gigovic

31 · F. Conte

99 · S. Essende

52 · N. Tschanz

Our number · bsc young boys winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

87% The market–

Us87%

We make BSC Young Boys an 87% chance to win. The model expects 0.7–3.5, and 0–3 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Taverne v BSC Young Boys~~0.71 – 3.47

~~Form · Schweizer Cup this season · since 15 Aug~~W0 D1 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Taverne win	4%	–	–
Draw	9%	–	–
BSC Young Boys win	87%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	79%	–	–
Both teams to score	50%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	92%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	60%	–	–
Taverne or draw	13%	–	–
Taverne clean sheet	3%	–	–
BSC Young Boys clean sheet	49%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–3 at 10.6%

0123450 5.2 9.2 10.6 9.2 6.41 3.9 6.5 7.6 6.6 4.62 2.3 2.7 2.3 3 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Taverne down, BSC Young Boys across0–5 goals a side shown (86.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates the clubs of 639 leagues on one scale, from the 409,847 league, cup and continental matches of the last three years up to 17 Oct 2026: each club against its own league, and the leagues against each other through the matches between them, weighting recent matches more.

The two leagues

Taverne play in 1. Liga Classic - Group 3, BSC Young Boys in the Swiss Super League.

Venue

Allows for home advantage: Taverne are at home.

Head to head

No meeting between these two in any competition we cover since 2021/22.

What the model expects

0.71 goals for Taverne, 3.47 for BSC Young Boys. Most likely score 0–3.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Schweizer Cup this season · since 15 Aug

TAVERNE

D1–1

BSC YOUNG BOYS

W4–0

Taverne v BSC Young Boys

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Taverne

BSC Young Boys

Rest & schedule

Taverne

BSC Young Boys

The game in numbers

Line-ups

Taverne

BSC Young Boys

Match statistics

Line-ups

Taverne

BSC Young Boys

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · Schweizer Cup this season · since 15 Aug