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Pully Football v FC Lugano

Pully Football
0–4Full time
FC Lugano

Schweizer Cup · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04
Pully Football 0–4 FC Lugano FC LUGANO WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTNOT BOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT0–5 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said FC Lugano win98%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.001

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 20 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Lugano win at 98%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: FC Lugano 98% before kick-off, 98% now. 0–0 · 0–2–98
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Pully Football v FC Lugano
  4. 7′A goal for FC Lugano on 6′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–0–99
  5. 7′⚽ GOAL · 6' Pully Football 0–1 FC Lugano
  6. 9′M. Marques scores for FC Lugano on 5′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 0–0–99
  7. 10′🟨 YELLOW · 10' Pully Football
  8. 21′FC Lugano score on 20′ to make it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  9. 21′⚽ GOAL · 20' Pully Football 0–2 FC Lugano
  10. 24′16′: E. Alioski on the scoresheet for FC Lugano, making it 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  11. 26′🟨 YELLOW · 25' FC Lugano
  12. 30′The goal count is tracking the 5.4 we expected. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Pully Football 0–3 FC Lugano
  14. 46′FC Lugano find the net on 45′. 0–3. 0–3 · 0–0–100
  15. 46′⚽ GOAL · 45+1' Pully Football 0–3 FC Lugano
  16. 47′SECOND HALF Pully Football 0–3 FC Lugano
  17. 57′A goal for FC Lugano on 57′ — 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  18. 57′⚽ GOAL · 57' Pully Football 0–4 FC Lugano
  19. 64′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Pully Football · On: Y. Djelloul · Off: M. Comisetti
  20. 65′M. Marques scores for FC Lugano on 56′ — 0–4. 0–4 · 0–0–100
  21. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 54' Pully Football · On: E. Parra · Off: S. Pinheiro Ly
  22. 65′SUBSTITUTION · 55' Pully Football · On: H. D'Aquino · Off: D. Isabella
  23. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 56' FC Lugano · On: Carbone · Off: M. Zanotti
  24. 66′SUBSTITUTION · 57' FC Lugano · On: G. Ajdin · Off: E. Pihlstrom
  25. 66′🟨 YELLOW · 66' Pully Football
  26. 72′SUBSTITUTION · 69' Pully Football · On: N. Lokengi · Off: C. Mast
  27. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 72' FC Lugano · On: A. Ajeti · Off: D. Moncada
  28. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Pully Football · On: A. Mehraz · Off: C. Ludi
  29. 86′SUBSTITUTION · 80' FC Lugano · On: B. Karimov · Off: M. Marques
  30. FTFULL TIME Pully Football 0–4 FC Lugano
  31. FTPully Football 0–4 FC Lugano · FC Lugano win: right · Over 2.5: right · Not both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Over 3.5: right · 0–5 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Lugano are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Pully Football <1%, draw 2%, FC Lugano 98%. Over 2.5 goals 91%, both teams to score 31%.

The AI’s read on Pully Football v FC LuganoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Pully Football win<1%
Draw2%
FC Lugano win98%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundRound of 32

Line-ups

Pully Football

FC Lugano

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Pully Football

FC Lugano

64Days since last match3

Last match: 15 Aug · Schweizer Cup

Last match: 15 Oct · UEFA Europa Conference League

0Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Pully Football

Formation not confirmed

1 L. Frangioni

4 F. Saldini

21 H. Clerc

15 T. Boillot

23 T. Chavanne

24 S. Pinheiro Ly

11 C. Mast

18 J. Beausire

6 M. Comisetti

10 C. Ludi

19 D. Isabella

Coach · –

Substitutes

25 · M. Ehrbar

20 · A. Rapp

16 · E. Parra

7 · N. Bogeski

5 · N. Lokengi

22 · Y. Djelloul

17 · G. Degola

9 · A. Mehraz

14 · H. D'Aquino

FC Lugano

Formation not confirmed

28 F. Gebhardt

46 M. Zanotti

4 D. Kelvin

18 J. Bichsel

24 E. Pihlstrom

7 E. Alioski

14 A. Kendouci

26 M. Marques

22 B. D. Castro Espinosa

30 D. Moncada

91 K. Behrens

Coach · Mattia Croci-Torti

Substitutes

16 · D. von Ballmoos

2 · B. Karimov

6 · A. Papadopoulos

8 · A. Grgic

9 · A. Ajeti

21 · Y. Cimignani

23 · G. Ajdin

27 · D. Dos Santos

44 · Carbone

Our number · fc lugano winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
98% The market–
Us98%

We make FC Lugano a 98% chance to win. The model expects 0.4–5.1, and 0–5 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Pully Football v FC Lugano0.38 – 5.05
Form · Schweizer Cup this season · since 15 AugW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Pully Football win<1%––
Draw2%––
FC Lugano win98%––
Over 2.5 goals91%––
Both teams to score31%––
Over 1.5 goals97%––
Over 3.5 goals79%––
Pully Football or draw2%––
Pully Football clean sheet1%––
FC Lugano clean sheet69%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–5 at 12.0%
0123450 2.2 5.6 9.4 11.9 12.01 2.1 3.6 4.5 4.52 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Pully Football down, FC Lugano across0–5 goals a side shown (60.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2022/23

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2022/23.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Schweizer Cup this season · since 15 Aug

PULLY FOOTBALL

W2–0

FC LUGANO

W10–1