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Langenthal v Neuchatel Xamax FC

Langenthal
2–3Full time
Neuchatel Xamax FC

Schweizer Cup · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43
Langenthal 2–3 Neuchatel Xamax FC NEUCHATEL XAMAX FC WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Neuchatel Xamax FC win52%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.341

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay22 notes · 21 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Neuchatel Xamax FC win at 52%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: Neuchatel Xamax FC was 52% before kick-off and our model makes it 52% now. 0–0 · 25–22–52
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Langenthal v Neuchatel Xamax FC
  4. 5′A goal for Neuchatel Xamax FC on 5′ — 0–1. 0–1 · 11–15–75
  5. 5′We published Neuchatel Xamax FC at 52%. Our model now makes it 75%. 0–1 · 11–15–75
  6. 5′⚽ GOAL · 5' Langenthal 0–1 Neuchatel Xamax FC
  7. 5′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 5' Neuchatel Xamax FC win: 52% at kick-off, 75% now
  8. 30′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 0–1 · 9–17–75
  9. 42′Langenthal score on 42′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 24–32–43
  10. 42′⚽ GOAL · 42' Langenthal 1–1 Neuchatel Xamax FC
  11. 42′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 42' Neuchatel Xamax FC win: 52% at kick-off, 43% now
  12. 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 45' Neuchatel Xamax FC win: 52% at kick-off, 42% now
  13. 45′HALF-TIME Langenthal 1–1 Neuchatel Xamax FC
  14. 46′40′: L. Gulen on the scoresheet for Langenthal, making it 1–1. 1–1 · 24–34–42
  15. 46′SECOND HALF Langenthal 1–1 Neuchatel Xamax FC
  16. 49′Langenthal find the net on 48′. 2–1. 2–1 · 59–26–15
  17. 49′We said Neuchatel Xamax FC at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 15%. 2–1 · 59–26–15
  18. 49′⚽ GOAL · 48' Langenthal 2–1 Neuchatel Xamax FC
  19. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' Neuchatel Xamax FC win: 52% at kick-off, 15% now
  20. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' Langenthal win is now our likeliest result at 59% (was Neuchatel Xamax FC win 15%)
  21. 50′We said Neuchatel Xamax FC at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 2–1 · 60–26–14
  22. 53′Langenthal ahead on 46′ through G. Anliker. 2–1. 2–1 · 61–26–13
  23. 54′A goal for Neuchatel Xamax FC on 54′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 23–39–39
  24. 54′⚽ GOAL · 54' Langenthal 2–2 Neuchatel Xamax FC
  25. 54′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 54' Neuchatel Xamax FC win: 52% at kick-off, 39% now
  26. 55′We said Neuchatel Xamax FC at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 38%. 2–2 · 22–39–38
  27. 55′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 22–39–38
  28. 58′E. Abedini scores for Neuchatel Xamax FC on 50′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 22–42–37
  29. 58′THE CALL SWINGS · 58' Draw is now our likeliest result at 42% (was Langenthal win 22%)
  30. 62′We said Neuchatel Xamax FC at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 2–2 · 21–45–34
  31. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 65' Neuchatel Xamax FC win: 52% at kick-off, 32% now
  32. 69′We said Neuchatel Xamax FC at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 2–2 · 18–53–29
  33. 75′We said Neuchatel Xamax FC at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 2–2 · 15–62–24
  34. 76′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 76' Neuchatel Xamax FC win: 52% at kick-off, 22% now
  35. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' Neuchatel Xamax FC win: 52% at kick-off, 12% now
  36. 87′We said Neuchatel Xamax FC at 52%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 2–2 · 6–85–9
  37. 91′Neuchatel Xamax FC score on 90′ to make it 2–3. 2–3 · 0–3–97
  38. 91′⚽ GOAL · 90+1' Langenthal 2–3 Neuchatel Xamax FC
  39. 91′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+1' Neuchatel Xamax FC win: 52% at kick-off, 97% now
  40. 91′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+1' Neuchatel Xamax FC win is now our likeliest result at 97% (was Draw 3%)
  41. 92′We published Neuchatel Xamax FC at 52%. Our model now makes it 97%. 2–3 · 0–3–97
  42. 92′That is 5, and we only asked for 3.4 across ninety minutes. 2–3 · 0–3–97
  43. 94′89′: J. Neuenschwander puts it into the Langenthal net, and it is 2–3. 2–3 · 0–1–99
  44. FTFULL TIME Langenthal 2–3 Neuchatel Xamax FC
  45. FTLangenthal 2–3 Neuchatel Xamax FC · Neuchatel Xamax FC win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Neuchatel Xamax FC are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Langenthal 25%, draw 22%, Neuchatel Xamax FC 52%. Over 2.5 goals 65%, both teams to score 64%.

The AI’s read on Langenthal v Neuchatel Xamax FCBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Langenthal win25%
Draw22%
Neuchatel Xamax FC win52%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 14:00

RoundRound of 32

Line-ups

Langenthal

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Langenthal

Neuchatel Xamax FC

8Days since last match9

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Last match: 9 Oct · the Swiss Challenge League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Langenthal

Formation not confirmed

1 J. Neuenschwander

35 G. Anliker

4 L. Gulen

24 B. Schlappi

26 B. Berisha

6 M. Yigit

21 L. Aversa

15 A. Hajdari

10 A. Rustemoski

14 M'Vondo Ze

19 Y. Constant

Coach · –

Substitutes

30 · J. Bracher

23 · Y. Studer

18 · M. Huber

12 · F. Bessa Pinto

5 · S. Castiglione

22 · P. Arrivas

9 · S. Domoraud Operi

11 · J. Gasane

Neuchatel Xamax FC

Formation not confirmed

13 U. Likar

16 L. Seydoux

60 M. Camara

4 E. Abedini

7 M. Facchinetti

77 Y. Peverelli

41 A. Bourezak

8 R. Bayard

24 I. Keita

32 P. Ambrose

28 N. Gjorgjev

Coach · Bruno Berner

Substitutes

25 · M. Dind

81 · D. Carraco

10 · L. Mulaj

36 · S. Reinhard

35 · A. Azemi

23 · J. Mayasi

9 · J. Unjanque

11 · N. Garcia

21 · L. Bergsma

Our number · neuchatel xamax fc winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
52% The market–
Us52%

We make Neuchatel Xamax FC a 52% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.0, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Langenthal v Neuchatel Xamax FC1.35 – 2.01
Form · Schweizer Cup this season · since 15 AugW1 D0 L0 · W0 D1 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Langenthal win25%––
Draw22%––
Neuchatel Xamax FC win52%––
Over 2.5 goals65%––
Both teams to score64%––
Over 1.5 goals85%––
Over 3.5 goals43%––
Langenthal or draw48%––
Langenthal clean sheet13%––
Neuchatel Xamax FC clean sheet26%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%
0123450 3.8 6.7 7.0 4.7 2.4 1 4.4 9.7 9.5 6.3 3.2 2 3.2 6.4 6.4 4.3 2.2 3 2.9 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Langenthal down, Neuchatel Xamax FC across0–5 goals a side shown (98.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Schweizer Cup this season · since 15 Aug

LANGENTHAL

W5–1

NEUCHATEL XAMAX FC

D0–0