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Model 1.2

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Köniz v Brühl

Köniz
0–2Full time
Brühl

Schweizer Cup · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
Köniz 0–2 Brühl BRÜHL WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Brühl win73%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.113

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay11 notes · 10 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Brühl win at 73%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Brühl 73% before kick-off, 72% now. 0–0 · 11–16–72
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Köniz v Brühl
  4. 32′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 32' Brühl win: 73% at kick-off, 63% now
  5. 37′We said Brühl at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 61%. 0–0 · 13–26–61
  6. 41′We said Brühl at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 13–27–59
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Köniz 0–0 Brühl
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Köniz 0–0 Brühl
  9. 51′We said Brühl at 73%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 54%. 0–0 · 13–33–54
  10. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 52' Brühl win: 73% at kick-off, 53% now
  11. 55′Goalless on 55′ when we expected about 3.6 goals — that one is getting away from us. 0–0 · 13–35–51
  12. 58′Brühl find the net on 58′. 0–1. 0–1 · 2–11–87
  13. 58′We said Brühl at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 87%. 0–1 · 2–11–87
  14. 58′⚽ GOAL · 58' Köniz 0–1 Brühl
  15. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 58' Brühl win: 73% at kick-off, 87% now
  16. 73′We said Brühl at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 90%. 0–1 · 1–10–90
  17. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' Brühl win: 73% at kick-off, 93% now
  18. 84′We said Brühl at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
  19. 95′L. Zumberi scores for Brühl on 90′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  20. 95′⚽ GOAL · 90+2' Köniz 0–2 Brühl · L. Zumberi
  21. 96′We said Brühl at 73% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  22. FTFULL TIME Köniz 0–2 Brühl
  23. FTKöniz 0–2 Brühl · Brühl win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Brühl are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Köniz 11%, draw 16%, Brühl 73%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Köniz v BrühlBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Köniz win11%
Draw16%
Brühl win73%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundRound of 32

Line-ups

Köniz

Brühl

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Köniz

Brühl

62Days since last match7

Last match: 16 Aug · Schweizer Cup

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Köniz

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Radosavljevic

34 T. Burgi

6 J. Zwahlen

4 R. Koppel

5 J. Meister

31 P. Agostini

25 S. Freiburghaus

99 J. Bruce

22 T. Jordi

36 N. Bajinovic

11 J. Nopper

Coach · S. Pintul

Substitutes

37 · N. Jozipovic

10 · Y. Mejdi

33 · M. Ali Mahmoud

9 · M. Crupi

17 · I. Pavlov

87 · J. Pauchard

Brühl

Formation not confirmed

23 C. Heim

7 S. Kucani

5 F. Rahimi

28 L. Traber

12 J. Wornhard

19 M. Jaiteh

8 L. Zumberi

20 D. Mistrafovic

10 F. Dorta

30 S. Cicek

9 M. Bahtiyari

Coach · D. Sonderegger

Substitutes

15 · A. Abdiji

14 · D. Stadler

11 · F. Lymann

53 · K. Debeljak

1 · N. Rakic

51 · R. Memeti

52 · E. Gachter

Our number · brühl winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off
73% The market–
Us73%

We make Brühl a 73% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–2.6, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Köniz v Brühl0.95 – 2.61
Form · Schweizer Cup this season · since 14 AugW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75% 11 OCT 04:0917 OCT 14:20
Our probability · Brühl win

Published at 74%, 73% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Köniz win11%––
Draw16%––
Brühl win73%––
Over 2.5 goals69%––
Both teams to score57%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals47%––
Köniz or draw27%––
Köniz clean sheet7%––
Brühl clean sheet39%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 9.7%
0123450 3.1 7.2 9.7 8.5 5.5 2.91 2.5 7.3 9.2 8.0 5.2 2.72 3.3 4.4 3.8 2.5 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Köniz down, Brühl across0–5 goals a side shown (95.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Schweizer Cup this season · since 14 Aug

KÖNIZ

W3–1

BRÜHL

W6–0