FC Schaffhausen v FC Thun

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Thun win at 64%.
2. 1′KICK-OFF FC Schaffhausen v FC Thun
3. 2′Much as we predicted: FC Thun was 64% before kick-off and our model makes it 64% now. 0–0 · 16–20–64
4. 33′SUBSTITUTION · 28' FC Schaffhausen · On: M. Hanke · Off: F. Gloor
5. 36′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 36' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 54% now
6. 41′We said FC Thun at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 52%. 0–0 · 18–30–52
7. 45′HALF-TIME FC Schaffhausen 0–0 FC Thun
8. 46′SECOND HALF FC Schaffhausen 0–0 FC Thun
9. 46′🟨 YELLOW · 46' FC Schaffhausen
10. 48′We said FC Thun at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 49%. 0–0 · 17–34–49
11. 49′FC Schaffhausen find the net on 49′. 0–0 · 17–34–49
12. 49′We said FC Thun at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 20%. 1–0 · 51–29–20
13. 49′⚽ GOAL · 49' FC Schaffhausen 1–0 FC Thun
14. 49′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 49' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 20% now
15. 49′THE CALL SWINGS · 49' FC Schaffhausen win is now our likeliest result at 51% (was FC Thun win 20%)
16. 50′We said FC Thun at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 1–0 · 52–29–19
17. 55′We expected about 3.4 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 17–38–45 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
18. 56′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 56' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 51% now
19. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 44% now
20. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 57' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 51% now
21. 58′We said FC Thun at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 43%. 0–0 · 16–40–43 Our live view briefly showed an older score here.
22. 58′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 58' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 43% now
23. 59′We said FC Thun at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 1–0 · 57–28–14
24. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 43% now
25. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 59' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 51% now
26. 59′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 59' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 14% now
27. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 60' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 42% now
28. 60′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 60' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 51% now
29. 67′We said FC Thun at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 1–0 · 64–27–9
30. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 62' FC Schaffhausen · On: D. Volkart · Off: D. Del Toro Corrected
31. 68′SUBSTITUTION · 62' FC Schaffhausen · On: A. Campos · Off: C. Odutayo Corrected
32. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 62' FC Thun · On: F. Dursun · Off: N. Zoukit Corrected
33. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 62' FC Thun · On: N. Maier · Off: S. Lengen Corrected
34. 72′We said FC Thun at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 31%. 1–1 · 13–56–31
35. 72′⚽ GOAL · 72' FC Schaffhausen 1–1 FC Thun
36. 72′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 72' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 31% now
37. 72′THE CALL SWINGS · 72' Draw is now our likeliest result at 56% (was FC Schaffhausen win 13%)
38. 73′FC Thun score on 72′ to make it 1–1. 1–1 · 13–58–30
39. 74′We said FC Thun at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 1–1 · 12–59–29
40. 76′PENALTY MISSED · 76' FC Schaffhausen
41. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 71' FC Thun · On: R. Braschi · Off: N. Christoffersson
42. 78′SUBSTITUTION · 71' FC Thun · On: F. Fehr · Off: N. Reichmuth
43. 78′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 78' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 23% now
44. 83′🟨 YELLOW · 82' FC Schaffhausen
45. 84′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 84' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 13% now
46. 93′We said FC Thun at 64%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–1 · 2–95–4
47. 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 4% now
48. 94′🟨 YELLOW · 90+3' FC Thun
49. 103′We published FC Thun at 64%. Our model now makes it 99%. 1–2 · 0–1–99
50. 103′Goals are coming at about the 3.4 we expected. 1–2 · 0–1–99
51. 103′⚽ GOAL · 90+13' FC Schaffhausen 1–2 FC Thun
52. 103′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 90+13' FC Thun win: 64% at kick-off, 99% now
53. 103′THE CALL SWINGS · 90+13' FC Thun win is now our likeliest result at 99% (was Draw 1%)
54. 120′A goal for FC Schaffhausen on 120′ — 2–2. 2–2 · 3–90–7
55. 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at 90%. 2–2 · 3–90–7
56. 120′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes the draw likeliest at over 99%. 2–2 · 0–100–0
57. 120′🟨 YELLOW · 120' FC Thun
58. 120′⚽ GOAL · 120' FC Schaffhausen 2–2 FC Thun
59. 121′4 goals already, more than the 3.4 we expected for the whole match. 2–2 · 3–91–6
60. 150′The 90 minutes are over: our published call is settled on that score. For the result after extra time our model now makes FC Thun likeliest at 99%. 1–2 · 0–1–99
61. 150′FC Thun find the net on 93′. 1–2. 1–2 · 0–1–99
62. 152′SUBSTITUTION · 80' FC Schaffhausen · On: S. Gegaj · Off: E. Lenjani
63. 152′SUBSTITUTION · 80' FC Schaffhausen · On: D. Kadima · Off: C. Chiappetta
64. FTFULL TIME FC Schaffhausen 2–2 FC Thun after penalties
65. FTFC Schaffhausen 1–1 FC Thun after 90 minutes, as graded · FC Thun win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–2 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.