FC Aarau v FC Zurich

1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Zurich win at 39%.
2. 2′Much as we predicted: FC Zurich was 39% before kick-off and our model makes it 39% now. 0–0 · 36–25–39
3. 2′KICK-OFF FC Aarau v FC Zurich
4. 6′🟨 YELLOW · 6' FC Aarau
5. 45′HALF-TIME FC Aarau 0–0 FC Zurich
6. 45′SECOND HALF FC Aarau 0–0 FC Zurich
7. 47′THE CALL SWINGS · 47' Draw is now our likeliest result at 37% (was FC Zurich win 32%)
8. 55′We expected about 3.1 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 31–36–33
9. 57′FC Aarau find the net on 56′. 0–0 · 28–43–29
10. 57′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 57' FC Zurich win: 39% at kick-off, 29% now
11. 61′We said FC Zurich at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 27%. 0–0 · 26–46–27
12. 61′🟨 YELLOW · 61' FC Aarau
13. 63′SUBSTITUTION · 58' FC Zurich · On: L. Comenencia · Off: V. Berisha
14. 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' FC Zurich
15. 67′A goal for FC Aarau on 66′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 76–20–5
16. 67′We said FC Zurich at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 5%. 1–0 · 76–20–5
17. 67′⚽ GOAL · 66' FC Aarau 1–0 FC Zurich
18. 67′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 67' FC Zurich win: 39% at kick-off, 5% now
19. 67′THE CALL SWINGS · 67' FC Aarau win is now our likeliest result at 76% (was Draw 20%)
20. 68′We said FC Zurich at 39%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 1–0 · 76–19–4
21. 69′D. Afriyie scores for FC Aarau on 65′ — 1–0. 1–0 · 77–19–4
22. 69′SUBSTITUTION · 65' FC Aarau · On: L. Obexer · Off: B. Senyurt
23. 79′SUBSTITUTION · 74' FC Zurich · On: D. Ramic · Off: K. Spadanuda
24. 81′⚽ GOAL · 81' FC Aarau 2–0 FC Zurich
25. 82′FC Aarau score on 81′ to make it 2–0. 2–0 · 99–1–0
26. 82′SUBSTITUTION · 75' FC Aarau · On: A. Beka Beka · Off: H. Koide
27. 84′A red card for FC Zurich on 84′. The model does not price cards, so read the number with that in mind. 2–0 · 100–0–0
28. 84′🟥 RED CARD · 84' FC Zurich
29. 86′80′: D. Afriyie on the scoresheet for FC Aarau, making it 2–0. 2–0 · 100–0–0
30. 89′🟨 YELLOW · 83' M. Reichmuth · FC Zurich
31. 90′Full time, 2–0. We called FC Zurich at 39% — wrong, and it goes on the record that way. 2–0 · 100–0–0
32. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' FC Aarau · On: S. Muller · Off: M. Dickenmann
33. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' FC Aarau · On: K. Ndau · Off: I. Aliu
34. 92′SUBSTITUTION · 87' FC Aarau · On: A. Bizzarri · Off: M. Guindo
35. FTFULL TIME FC Aarau 2–0 FC Zurich
36. FTFC Aarau 2–0 FC Zurich · FC Zurich win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.