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Cham v FC Sion

Cham
0–2Full time
FC Sion

Schweizer Cup · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:42
Cham 0–2 FC Sion FC SION WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT0–2 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said FC Sion win74%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.100

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay9 notes · 9 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said FC Sion win at 74%.
  2. 1′Much as we predicted: FC Sion was 74% before kick-off and our model makes it 74% now. 0–0 · 10–16–74
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Cham v FC Sion
  4. 33′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 33' FC Sion win: 74% at kick-off, 64% now
  5. 38′We said FC Sion at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 62%. 0–0 · 12–26–62
  6. 44′We said FC Sion at 74%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 59%. 0–0 · 12–29–59
  7. 45′HALF-TIME Cham 0–0 FC Sion
  8. 46′SECOND HALF Cham 0–0 FC Sion
  9. 51′FC Sion find the net on 51′. 0–1. 0–1 · 2–10–88
  10. 51′We published FC Sion at 74%. Our model now makes it 88%. 0–1 · 2–10–88
  11. 51′⚽ GOAL · 51' Cham 0–1 FC Sion
  12. 51′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 51' FC Sion win: 74% at kick-off, 88% now
  13. 69′We published FC Sion at 74%. Our model now makes it 90%. 0–1 · 1–9–90
  14. 81′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 81' FC Sion win: 74% at kick-off, 94% now
  15. 83′We published FC Sion at 74%. Our model now makes it 95%. 0–1 · 0–5–95
  16. 94′A goal for FC Sion on 90′ — 0–2. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  17. 94′We published FC Sion at 74%. Our model now makes it over 99%. 0–2 · 0–0–100
  18. 94′⚽ GOAL · 90+3' Cham 0–2 FC Sion
  19. FTFULL TIME Cham 0–2 FC Sion
  20. FTCham 0–2 FC Sion · FC Sion win: right · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 0–2 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

FC Sion are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Cham 10%, draw 16%, FC Sion 74%. Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 54%.

The AI’s read on Cham v FC SionBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Cham win10%
Draw16%
FC Sion win74%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 16:00

RoundRound of 32

Line-ups

Cham

FC Sion

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Cham

FC Sion

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Promotion

Last match: 10 Oct · the Swiss Super League

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Cham

Formation not confirmed

1 D. Heller

26 L. Heuberger

29 M. Buhler

3 F. Niederhauser

22 S. Haag

13 J. Gehrig

6 I. Hegglin

19 A. Bajric

10 M. Pasquarelli

11 M. Wiskemann

21 J. Facal

Coach · Pascal Nussbaumer

Substitutes

16 · N. Fluhmann

9 · A. Ribeiro

27 · N. Boum

24 · E. Tia

14 · L. Lang

7 · M. Bieri

30 · L. Vogele

12 · N. Zimmermann

20 · P. Zaugg

FC Sion

Formation not confirmed

1 A. Racioppi

14 N. Lavanchy

28 K. Hajrizi

17 J. Kronig

20 N. Hefti

5 N. Sow

88 A. Kabacalman

29 T. Berdayes

7 I. Chouaref

33 R. Nivokazi

9 J. Lukembila

Coach · Didier Tholot

Substitutes

12 · F. Ruberto

6 · Marquinhos Cipriano

10 · B. Kololli

13 · W. Boteli

19 · F. Surdez

21 · L. Chipperfield

22 · A. Llukes

38 · R. Kessler

55 · L. Villa

Our number · fc sion winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off
74% The market–
Us74%

We make FC Sion a 74% chance to win. The model expects 0.9–2.6, and 0–2 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Cham v FC Sion0.86 – 2.60
Form · Schweizer Cup this season · since 16 AugW1 D0 L0 · W1 D0 L0

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
70%75%80% 11 OCT 04:0917 OCT 15:16
Our probability · FC Sion win

Published at 75%, 74% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Cham win10%––
Draw16%––
FC Sion win74%––
Over 2.5 goals67%––
Both teams to score54%––
Over 1.5 goals86%––
Over 3.5 goals45%––
Cham or draw26%––
Cham clean sheet7%––
FC Sion clean sheet42%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 0–2 at 10.6%
0123450 3.4 7.9 10.6 9.2 6.0 3.11 2.5 7.3 9.1 7.9 5.1 2.72 3.0 3.9 3.4 2.2 3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Cham down, FC Sion across0–5 goals a side shown (95.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Schweizer Cup this season · since 16 Aug

CHAM

W2–0

FC SION

W6–1