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Model 1.2

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Widnau v Buochs

Widnau
0–2Full time
Buochs

Erste Liga Cup · SUN 18 OCT

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:43
Widnau 0–2 Buochs BUOCHS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Buochs win43%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.482

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Buochs are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Widnau 32%, draw 25%, Buochs 43%. Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 61%.

The AI’s read on Widnau v BuochsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Widnau win32%
Draw25%
Buochs win43%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundSemi-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Widnau

Buochs

7Days since last match8

Last match: 11 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · buochs winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
43% The market–
Us43%

We make Buochs a 43% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.6, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Widnau v Buochs1.38 – 1.65

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Widnau win32%––
Draw25%––
Buochs win43%––
Over 2.5 goals58%––
Both teams to score61%––
Over 1.5 goals81%––
Over 3.5 goals36%––
Widnau or draw57%––
Widnau clean sheet19%––
Buochs clean sheet25%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.4%
0123450 5.2 7.6 6.6 3.6 1 6.3 11.4 9.1 5.0 2.1 2 4.6 7.6 6.3 3.4 3 2.1 3.5 2.9 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Widnau down, Buochs across0–5 goals a side shown (99.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Erste Liga Cup this season

WIDNAU

No matches in our record yet.

BUOCHS

No matches in our record yet.