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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Erste Liga Cup › Naters v La Chaux-de-Fonds

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Naters v La Chaux-de-Fonds

Naters
3–2Full time
La Chaux-de-Fonds

Erste Liga Cup · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
Naters 3–2 La Chaux-de-Fonds NATERS WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Naters win59%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.253

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Naters are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Naters 59%, draw 19%, La Chaux-de-Fonds 22%. Over 2.5 goals 76%, both teams to score 71%.

The AI’s read on Naters v La Chaux-de-FondsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Naters win59%
Draw19%
La Chaux-de-Fonds win22%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundSemi-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Naters

La Chaux-de-Fonds

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · naters winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
59% The market–
Us59%

We make Naters a 59% chance to win. The model expects 2.5–1.5, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 8%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Naters v La Chaux-de-Fonds2.53 – 1.52

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Naters win59%––
Draw19%––
La Chaux-de-Fonds win22%––
Over 2.5 goals76%––
Both teams to score71%––
Over 1.5 goals91%––
Over 3.5 goals57%––
Naters or draw78%––
Naters clean sheet22%––
La Chaux-de-Fonds clean sheet8%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 8.3%
0123450 2.1 2.6 2.1 1 4.4 7.0 5.1 2.6 2 5.6 8.3 6.3 3.2 3 4.7 6.9 5.2 2.7 4 3.0 4.4 3.3 5 2.3
under 2% 5% 12%+Naters down, La Chaux-de-Fonds across0–5 goals a side shown (94.6% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.90
Over 2.56 of 10
Both scored4 of 10
Last meetingsLAC 1–2 NAT · LAC 1–1 NAT · NAT 4–0 LAC · NAT 3–1 LAC

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Erste Liga Cup this season

NATERS

No matches in our record yet.

LA CHAUX-DE-FONDS

No matches in our record yet.