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Model 1.2

Home › Football › Erste Liga Cup › Muri-Gümligen v Azzurri Bienne

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Muri-Gümligen v Azzurri Bienne

Muri-Gümligen
4–4After penalties
Azzurri Bienne

Erste Liga Cup · SAT 17 OCT

After 90 minutesGraded 20 Oct 03:22
Muri-Gümligen 4–4 Azzurri Bienne AZZURRI BIENNE WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTOVER 3.5 · RIGHT1–2 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Azzurri Bienne win56%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.996

Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 4–4, the score after 90 minutes. It was decided on penalties.

Corrected on 20 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 4–5; the score is now 4–4 and the grades above follow it.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Azzurri Bienne are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Muri-Gümligen 24%, draw 21%, Azzurri Bienne 56%. Over 2.5 goals 71%, both teams to score 68%.

The AI’s read on Muri-Gümligen v Azzurri BienneBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Muri-Gümligen win24%
Draw21%
Azzurri Bienne win56%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundSemi-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Muri-Gümligen

Azzurri Bienne

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

Last match: 11 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · azzurri bienne winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 13 Oct 00:16 · locked at kick-off
56% The market–
Us56%

We make Azzurri Bienne a 56% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–2.2, and 1–2 is the single most likely score at 9%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Muri-Gümligen v Azzurri Bienne1.42 – 2.23

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
45%50%55%60% 11 OCT 04:0917 OCT 14:20
Our probability · Azzurri Bienne win

Published at 48%, 56% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Muri-Gümligen win24%––
Draw21%––
Azzurri Bienne win56%––
Over 2.5 goals71%––
Both teams to score68%––
Over 1.5 goals88%––
Over 3.5 goals50%––
Muri-Gümligen or draw44%––
Muri-Gümligen clean sheet11%––
Azzurri Bienne clean sheet24%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–2 at 9.2%
0123450 2.9 5.5 6.5 4.8 2.7 1 3.4 8.5 9.2 6.8 3.8 2 2.6 5.8 6.5 4.8 2.7 3 2.8 3.1 2.3 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Muri-Gümligen down, Azzurri Bienne across0–5 goals a side shown (97.0% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2026/27

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2026/27.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Erste Liga Cup this season

MURI-GÜMLIGEN

No matches in our record yet.

AZZURRI BIENNE

No matches in our record yet.