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Model 1.2

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Langenthal v Monthey

Langenthal
3–0Full time
Monthey

Erste Liga Cup · WED 21 OCT

Full timeGraded 21 Oct 22:01
Langenthal 3–0 Monthey LANGENTHAL WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT2–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Langenthal win64%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.198

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Langenthal are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Langenthal 64%, draw 19%, Monthey 17%. Over 2.5 goals 69%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Langenthal v MontheyBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 15 Oct 04:33 · locked at kick-off

Langenthal win64%
Draw19%
Monthey win17%

Kick-offWED 21 OCT · 19:15

RoundSemi-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Langenthal

Monthey

3Days since last match11

Last match: 18 Oct · Schweizer Cup

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · langenthal winFirst published 15 Oct 04:33 · updated 19 Oct 00:21 · locked at kick-off
64% The market–
Us64%

We make Langenthal a 64% chance to win. The model expects 2.4–1.2, and 2–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Langenthal v Monthey2.37 – 1.17

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
55%60%65% 15 OCT 04:3321 OCT 18:46
Our probability · Langenthal win

Published at 61%, 64% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Langenthal win64%––
Draw19%––
Monthey win17%––
Over 2.5 goals69%––
Both teams to score63%––
Over 1.5 goals87%––
Over 3.5 goals47%––
Langenthal or draw83%––
Langenthal clean sheet31%––
Monthey clean sheet9%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 2–1 at 9.5%
0123450 3.1 3.1 1 6.6 8.3 4.7 2 8.1 9.5 5.6 2.2 3 6.4 7.5 4.4 4 3.8 4.5 2.6 5 2.1
under 2% 5% 12%+Langenthal down, Monthey across0–5 goals a side shown (96.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

1 meeting since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.00
Over 2.50 of 1
Both scored0 of 1
Last meetingsLAN 2–0 MON

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Erste Liga Cup this season

LANGENTHAL

No matches in our record yet.

MONTHEY

No matches in our record yet.