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Model 1.1

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Lancy v Portalban / Gletterens

Lancy
0–2Full time
Portalban / Gletterens

Erste Liga Cup · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 22:30
Lancy 0–2 Portalban / Gletterens LANCY WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Lancy win46%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.766

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Lancy are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Lancy 46%, draw 25%, Portalban / Gletterens 30%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 59%.

The AI’s read on Lancy v Portalban / GletterensBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Lancy win46%
Draw25%
Portalban / Gletterens win30%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 19:30

RoundSemi-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Lancy

Portalban / Gletterens

6Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1

Last match: 9 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 1

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · lancy winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · updated 11 Oct 04:09 · locked at kick-off
46% The market–
Us46%

We make Lancy a 46% chance to win. The model expects 1.7–1.3, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Lancy v Portalban / Gletterens1.67 – 1.29

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 10 OCT 04:0216 OCT 19:16
Our probability · Lancy win

Published at 44%, 46% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Lancy win46%––
Draw25%––
Portalban / Gletterens win30%––
Over 2.5 goals57%––
Both teams to score59%––
Over 1.5 goals79%––
Over 3.5 goals34%––
Lancy or draw70%––
Lancy clean sheet28%––
Portalban / Gletterens clean sheet19%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.3%
0123450 5.7 6.5 4.4 1 8.4 11.3 7.1 3.1 2 7.2 9.1 5.9 2.6 3 4.0 5.1 3.3 4 2.2 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Lancy down, Portalban / Gletterens across0–5 goals a side shown (98.9% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting2.40
Over 2.52 of 5
Both scored3 of 5
Last meetingsPOR 1–1 LAN · POR 1–0 LAN · LAN 1–2 POR · POR 2–3 LAN

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Erste Liga Cup this season

LANCY

No matches in our record yet.

PORTALBAN / GLETTERENS

No matches in our record yet.