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Model 1.2

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Freienbach v Wettswil-Bonstetten

Freienbach
3–1Full time
Wettswil-Bonstetten

Erste Liga Cup · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
Freienbach 3–1 Wettswil-Bonstetten WETTSWIL-BONSTETTEN WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Wettswil-Bonstetten win47%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.781

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Wettswil-Bonstetten are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Freienbach 29%, draw 24%, Wettswil-Bonstetten 47%. Over 2.5 goals 59%, both teams to score 60%.

The AI’s read on Freienbach v Wettswil-BonstettenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Freienbach win29%
Draw24%
Wettswil-Bonstetten win47%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundSemi-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Freienbach

Wettswil-Bonstetten

7Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Last match: 9 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · wettswil-bonstetten winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
47% The market–
Us47%

We make Wettswil-Bonstetten a 47% chance to win. The model expects 1.3–1.7, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Freienbach v Wettswil-Bonstetten1.31 – 1.74

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Freienbach win29%––
Draw24%––
Wettswil-Bonstetten win47%––
Over 2.5 goals59%––
Both teams to score60%––
Over 1.5 goals81%––
Over 3.5 goals36%––
Freienbach or draw53%––
Freienbach clean sheet18%––
Wettswil-Bonstetten clean sheet27%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%
0123450 5.0 8.1 7.1 4.2 1 6.1 10.8 9.2 5.3 2.4 2 4.1 7.0 6.0 3.5 3 3.1 2.7 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Freienbach down, Wettswil-Bonstetten across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting2.40
Over 2.55 of 10
Both scored6 of 10
Last meetingsFRE 0–2 WET · WET 2–2 FRE · FRE 0–3 WET · WET 2–1 FRE

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Erste Liga Cup this season

FREIENBACH

No matches in our record yet.

WETTSWIL-BONSTETTEN

No matches in our record yet.