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Model 1.2

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Dietikon v Black Stars

Dietikon
2–0Full time
Black Stars

Erste Liga Cup · SAT 17 OCT

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
Dietikon 2–0 Black Stars DIETIKON WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Dietikon win45%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.450

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Dietikon are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Dietikon 45%, draw 24%, Black Stars 31%. Over 2.5 goals 61%, both teams to score 63%.

The AI’s read on Dietikon v Black StarsBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Dietikon win45%
Draw24%
Black Stars win31%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundSemi-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Dietikon

Black Stars

7Days since last match6

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Last match: 11 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · dietikon winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off
45% The market–
Us45%

We make Dietikon a 45% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.4, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Dietikon v Black Stars1.76 – 1.41

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
40%45%50% 11 OCT 04:0917 OCT 14:20
Our probability · Dietikon win

Published at 44%, 45% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Dietikon win45%––
Draw24%––
Black Stars win31%––
Over 2.5 goals61%––
Both teams to score63%––
Over 1.5 goals83%––
Over 3.5 goals39%––
Dietikon or draw69%––
Dietikon clean sheet24%––
Black Stars clean sheet17%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.8%
0123450 4.5 5.6 4.2 1 7.0 10.8 7.4 3.5 2 6.5 9.2 6.5 3.1 3 3.8 5.4 3.8 4 2.4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Dietikon down, Black Stars across0–5 goals a side shown (98.7% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

4 meetings since 2021/22
Goals a meeting4.50
Over 2.53 of 4
Both scored4 of 4
Last meetingsDIE 3–3 BLA · BLA 1–1 DIE · BLA 3–2 DIE · DIE 2–3 BLA

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Erste Liga Cup this season

DIETIKON

No matches in our record yet.

BLACK STARS

No matches in our record yet.