Install the appInstall the appPitchside Lab · free · no ads
Pitchside Lab
Model 1.2

Home › Football › Erste Liga Cup › Concordia Lausanne v Locarno

Back
Switzerland flag

Concordia Lausanne v Locarno

Concordia Lausanne
1–2After extra time
Locarno

Erste Liga Cup · SUN 18 OCT

After 90 minutesGraded 21 Oct 03:22
Concordia Lausanne 1–1 Locarno LOCARNO WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT
We said Locarno win44%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.886

Every number we publish is for the 90 minutes, so this match is graded on 1–1, the score after 90 minutes. It finished 1–2 after extra time.

Corrected on 21 Oct: this match was first graded on a score of 1–2; the score is now 1–1 and the grades above follow it.

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Locarno are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Concordia Lausanne 32%, draw 23%, Locarno 44%. Over 2.5 goals 64%, both teams to score 65%.

The AI’s read on Concordia Lausanne v LocarnoBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Concordia Lausanne win32%
Draw23%
Locarno win44%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:00

RoundSemi-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Concordia Lausanne

Locarno

365Days since last match8

Last match: 18 Oct 2025 · Erste Liga Cup

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

0Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · locarno winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off
44% The market–
Us44%

We make Locarno a 44% chance to win. The model expects 1.5–1.8, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Concordia Lausanne v Locarno1.50 – 1.79

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Concordia Lausanne win32%––
Draw23%––
Locarno win44%––
Over 2.5 goals64%––
Both teams to score65%––
Over 1.5 goals84%––
Over 3.5 goals42%––
Concordia Lausanne or draw56%––
Concordia Lausanne clean sheet17%––
Locarno clean sheet22%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 10.3%
0123450 4.0 6.3 5.9 3.5 1 5.3 10.3 8.9 5.3 2.4 2 4.2 7.5 6.7 4.0 3 2.1 3.8 3.4 2.0 4 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Concordia Lausanne down, Locarno across0–5 goals a side shown (98.5% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2023/24

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2023/24.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Erste Liga Cup this season

CONCORDIA LAUSANNE

No matches in our record yet.

LOCARNO

No matches in our record yet.