Bassecourt v Delémont prediction · Erste Liga Cup

Full timeGraded 18 Oct 16:04

Bassecourt 1–0 Delémont DELÉMONT WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · WRONGOVER 1.5 · WRONGUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG

~~We said Delémont win~~41%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.684

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Delémont are narrow favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Bassecourt 33%, draw 26%, Delémont 41%. Over 2.5 goals 55%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Bassecourt v DelémontBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Bassecourt win33%

Draw26%

Delémont win41%

Kick-offSUN 18 OCT · 13:30

RoundSemi-finals

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Bassecourt

Delémont

8Days since last match8

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days2

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · delémont winFirst published 12 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

41% The market–

Us41%

We make Delémont a 41% chance to win. The model expects 1.4–1.5, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 12%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model

~~Expected goals · Bassecourt v Delémont~~1.36 – 1.54

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
Bassecourt win	33%	–	–
Draw	26%	–	–
Delémont win	41%	–	–
Over 2.5 goals	55%	–	–
Both teams to score	58%	–	–
Over 1.5 goals	79%	–	–
Over 3.5 goals	33%	–	–
Bassecourt or draw	59%	–	–
Bassecourt clean sheet	22%	–	–
Delémont clean sheet	26%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 12.1%

0123450 6.5 7.9 6.5 3.4 1 6.9 12.1 8.7 4.5 2 5.1 7.7 5.8 3.0 3 2.3 3.5 2.7 4 5

under 2% 5% 12%+Bassecourt down, Delémont across0–5 goals a side shown (99.1% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 1,221 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches up to 11 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Context, not used by the model: 1. Liga Classic - Group 2 matches have gone over 2.5 in 67.5% of games this season, across 80 played.

Head to head

Context, not used by the model: 7 previous meetings since 2021/22 in every competition we cover, 3.14 goals a meeting; 7 of 7 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

Bassecourt at home: 1.33 scored, 2.17 conceded a game (last 6). Delémont away: 0.50 scored, 0.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.36 goals for Bassecourt, 1.54 for Delémont. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. The model works from every result, as the first step says; the base rates, the head to head and the home and away form are context beside it, not inputs.

Head to head

7 meetings since 2021/22

~~Goals a meeting~~3.14

~~Over 2.5~~7 of 7

~~Both scored~~6 of 7

~~Last meetings~~DEL 2–1 BAS · DEL 3–1 BAS · BAS 1–2 DEL · BAS 2–1 DEL

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Erste Liga Cup this season

BASSECOURT

No matches in our record yet.

DELÉMONT

No matches in our record yet.

Bassecourt v Delémont

The match pulse

AI match analysis

Pre-match prediction

Match timeline

Line-ups

Rest & schedule

Bassecourt

Delémont

The game in numbers

Line-ups

Match statistics

Line-ups

What the number rests on

Head to head

Form · Erste Liga Cup this season