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Model 1.2

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Baden v FC Wohlen

Baden
2–1Full time
FC Wohlen

Erste Liga Cup · SAT 17 OCT · Esp Stadium

Full timeGraded 17 Oct 18:10
Baden 2–1 FC Wohlen BADEN WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Baden win53%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.334

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Baden are favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Baden 53%, draw 24%, FC Wohlen 24%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 57%.

The AI’s read on Baden v FC WohlenBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 11 Oct 03:54 · locked at kick-off

Baden win53%
Draw24%
FC Wohlen win24%

Kick-offSAT 17 OCT · 15:00

RoundSemi-finals

VenueEsp Stadium

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Baden

FC Wohlen

7Days since last match7

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 3

Last match: 10 Oct · 1. Liga Classic - Group 2

2Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · baden winFirst published 11 Oct 03:54 · updated 12 Oct 00:14 · locked at kick-off
53% The market–
Us53%

We make Baden a 53% chance to win. The model expects 1.8–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 11%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Baden v FC Wohlen1.82 – 1.14

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

How the number movedSince we published
50%55% 11 OCT 04:0917 OCT 14:20
Our probability · Baden win

Published at 54%, 53% now.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Baden win53%––
Draw24%––
FC Wohlen win24%––
Over 2.5 goals57%––
Both teams to score57%––
Over 1.5 goals80%––
Over 3.5 goals34%––
Baden or draw76%––
Baden clean sheet32%––
FC Wohlen clean sheet16%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.1%
0123450 5.5 5.6 3.4 1 9.0 11.1 6.2 2.3 2 8.5 9.8 5.6 2.1 3 5.2 5.9 3.4 4 2.4 2.7 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Baden down, FC Wohlen across0–5 goals a side shown (98.8% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

No meetings since 2021/22

No meetings between these two in the competitions we cover since 2021/22.

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · Erste Liga Cup this season

BADEN

No matches in our record yet.

FC WOHLEN

No matches in our record yet.