Home › Football › Challenge League › Stade Lausanne-Ouchy v Neuchatel Xamax FC
Back

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy v Neuchatel Xamax FC
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Neuchatel Xamax FCChallenge League · FRI 23 OCT · Stade Olympique de la Pontaise
The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.
- 0′Before kick-off: we said Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win at 53%.
- 1′Much as we predicted: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy was 53% before kick-off and our model makes it 53% now. 0–0 · 53–25–22
- 1′KICK-OFF Stade Lausanne-Ouchy v Neuchatel Xamax FC
- 17′🟨 YELLOW · 16' R. Freitas · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- 27′🟨 YELLOW · 26' E. Abedini · Neuchatel Xamax FC
- 43′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 43' Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
- 45′🟨 YELLOW · 45' J. Nkama · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- 45′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 45' Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win: 53% at kick-off, 43% now
- 45′THE CALL SWINGS · 45' Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Draw 50%)
- 48′We said Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 41%. 0–0 · 41–38–21
- 54′We said Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 39%. 0–0 · 39–42–20
- 54′🟨 YELLOW · 53' M. Camara · Neuchatel Xamax FC
- 55′We expected about 3.0 goals. There have been none, and the clock is running down. 0–0 · 38–42–20
- 56′THE CALL SWINGS · 56' Draw is now our likeliest result at 43% (was Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win 40%)
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Neuchatel Xamax FC · On: J. Fontana · Off: Y. Peverelli
- 58′SUBSTITUTION · 58' Neuchatel Xamax FC · On: J. Unjanque · Off: P. Ambrose
- 62′We said Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 34%. 0–0 · 34–48–18
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · On: J. A. Tur · Off: J. Nkama
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 61' Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · On: V. Tritten · Off: R. Freitas
- 62′SUBSTITUTION · 62' Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · On: N. Emeran · Off: C. Sow
- 63′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 63' Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win: 53% at kick-off, 33% now
- 65′🟨 YELLOW · 65' L. Seji · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
- 68′We said Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 29%. 0–0 · 29–55–16
- 72′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Neuchatel Xamax FC · On: A. Azemi · Off: D. Carraco
- 73′SUBSTITUTION · 72' Stade Lausanne-Ouchy · On: J. Atangana · Off: M. Sartoretti
- 74′We said Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 24%. 0–0 · 24–63–13
- 75′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 75' Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win: 53% at kick-off, 23% now
- 78′We said Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 19%. 0–0 · 19–70–11
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Neuchatel Xamax FC · On: L. Mulaj · Off: I. Keita
- 80′SUBSTITUTION · 80' Neuchatel Xamax FC · On: N. Garcia · Off: N. Gjorgjev
- 82′We said Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 14%. 0–0 · 14–78–8
- 83′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 83' Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win: 53% at kick-off, 12% now
- 86′We said Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 9%. 0–0 · 9–85–5
- 92′We said Stade Lausanne-Ouchy at 53%. It is not going that way — our model now has it at 4%. 0–0 · 4–94–2
- 93′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 90+3' Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win: 53% at kick-off, 3% now
- FTFULL TIME Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 0–0 Neuchatel Xamax FC
- FTStade Lausanne-Ouchy 0–0 Neuchatel Xamax FC · Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: wrong · Over 1.5: wrong · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: wrong
What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.
The match pulse
BEFORE KICK-OFF
Match outcome probability (%)
AI match analysis
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy are favourites.
The Pitchside prediction: Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 53%, draw 25%, Neuchatel Xamax FC 22%. Over 2.5 goals 57%, both teams to score 58%.
Pre-match prediction
First published 17 Oct 00:01 · locked at kick-off
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win53%
Neuchatel Xamax FC win22%Kick-offFRI 23 OCT · 18:30
RoundMatchday 11
VenueStade Olympique de la Pontaise
RefereeA. Kanagasingam
Match timeline
All events
Stade Lausanne-OuchyMIN
Neuchatel Xamax FCEvents will appear when the match starts.
Line-ups
Rest & schedule
Before kick-off · every competition we cover
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
Neuchatel Xamax FC
Last match: 16 Oct · Schweizer Cup
Last match: 18 Oct · Schweizer Cup
Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
Match statistics
Match statistics aren’t available yet.
Line-ups
Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.
We make Stade Lausanne-Ouchy a 53% chance to win. The market has them at 59%. We are 6 points less confident than the market. The model expects 1.9–1.1.
What the number rests on
Our modelBuilt from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.
Our number has not moved since we published. No bookmaker had priced it when we published; the market has it at 59% now.
| Market | Us | Market | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win | 53% | 59% | −6 |
| Draw | 25% | 22% | +3 |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC win | 22% | 19% | +3 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% | 62% | −5 |
| Both teams to score | 58% | 59% | −1 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% | 82% | −1 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% | 40% | −5 |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy or draw | 78% | 81% | −3 |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy clean sheet | 33% | – | – |
| Neuchatel Xamax FC clean sheet | 16% | – | – |
Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 9 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.
This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.2 — Pitchside Lab's own model.
Head to head
Last 10 meetingsEvery competition we cover, the latest meeting first.
Form · last six in Challenge League this season · since 28 Aug
STADE LAUSANNE-OUCHY
NEUCHATEL XAMAX FC
The table
2026/27| # | TEAM | P | GD | PTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy | 10 | +17 | 24 |
| 2 | Yverdon Sport | 10 | +7 | 19 |
| 3 | FC Winterthur | 10 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | SC Kriens | 10 | +5 | 15 |
| 5 | Neuchatel Xamax FC | 10 | −2 | 15 |
| 6 | FC Aarau | 10 | −3 | 12 |
| 7 | Rapperswil | 10 | −4 | 10 |
| 8 | FC WIL 1900 | 10 | −6 | 10 |
| 9 | Étoile Carouge | 10 | −6 | 9 |
| 10 | Stade Nyonnais | 10 | −16 | 5 |
The competition's standings before kick-off.
Yverdon Sport
FC Winterthur
SC Kriens
FC Aarau
Rapperswil
FC WIL 1900
Étoile Carouge
Stade Nyonnais