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SC Kriens v FC WIL 1900

SC Kriens

1–1Full time

FC WIL 1900

Challenge League · FRI 9 OCT · Stadion Kleinfeld

Full timeGraded 9 Oct 21:00

SC Kriens 1–1 FC WIL 1900 SC KRIENS WIN · WRONGOVER 2.5 · WRONGBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · RIGHT1–1 EXACTLY · RIGHT

~~We said SC Kriens win~~43%

~~The market said~~38%

~~Brier score, this match · lower is better~~0.840

~~The market’s Brier score~~0.854

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay1 note · 40 alerts

0′Before kick-off: we said SC Kriens win at 43%.
1′KICK-OFF SC Kriens v FC WIL 1900
3′Little has changed for our model: SC Kriens 43% before kick-off, 44% now. 0–0 · 44–24–32
17′🟨 YELLOW · 17' L. Schreiber · FC WIL 1900
25′🟨 YELLOW · 17' L. Schreiber · FC WIL 1900
28′🟨 YELLOW · 27' M. Willimann · SC Kriens
45′HALF-TIME SC Kriens 0–0 FC WIL 1900
46′SECOND HALF SC Kriens 0–0 FC WIL 1900
55′SUBSTITUTION · 54' SC Kriens · On: R. Hoxha · Off: M. Ishuayed Corrected
55′SUBSTITUTION · 55' SC Kriens · On: L. Maksutaj · Off: E. Rufener Corrected
58′🟨 YELLOW · 57' A. Krasniqi · SC Kriens
61′⚽ GOAL · 61' SC Kriens 1–0 FC WIL 1900 · M. Francois
65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' FC WIL 1900 · On: T. Staubli · Off: P. Weber
65′SUBSTITUTION · 64' FC WIL 1900 · On: M. Diarra · Off: X. Aliu
65′SUBSTITUTION · 65' FC WIL 1900 · On: P. Fischer · Off: A. Rexhaj
67′🟨 YELLOW · 67' J. Hermann · SC Kriens
70′⚽ GOAL · 70' SC Kriens 1–1 FC WIL 1900 · L. Schreiber
71′SUBSTITUTION · 71' SC Kriens · On: L. Riedmann · Off: N. Siegrist
75′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Y. Schmid · FC WIL 1900
83′🟨 YELLOW · 83' D. Kaiba · FC WIL 1900
83′SUBSTITUTION · 83' SC Kriens · On: B. Mulliqi · Off: E. Heiniger
85′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FC WIL 1900 · On: O. Bunjaku · Off: N. Rupp
88′🟨 YELLOW · 88' P. Sutter · FC WIL 1900
90′🟨 YELLOW · 17' L. Schreiber · FC WIL 1900
90′🟨 YELLOW · 27' M. Willimann · SC Kriens
90′SUBSTITUTION · 54' SC Kriens · On: R. Hoxha · Off: E. Rufener
90′SUBSTITUTION · 55' SC Kriens · On: L. Maksutaj · Off: M. Ishuayed
90′🟨 YELLOW · 57' A. Krasniqi · SC Kriens
90′⚽ GOAL · 61' SC Kriens 1–1 FC WIL 1900 · M. Francois (assist R. Hoxha)
90′SUBSTITUTION · 64' FC WIL 1900 · On: T. Staubli · Off: P. Weber
90′SUBSTITUTION · 64' FC WIL 1900 · On: M. Diarra · Off: X. Aliu
90′SUBSTITUTION · 65' FC WIL 1900 · On: P. Fischer · Off: A. Rexhaj
90′🟨 YELLOW · 67' J. Hermann · SC Kriens
90′⚽ GOAL · 70' SC Kriens 1–1 FC WIL 1900 · L. Schreiber
90′SUBSTITUTION · 71' SC Kriens · On: L. Riedmann · Off: N. Siegrist
90′🟨 YELLOW · 74' Y. Schmid · FC WIL 1900
90′🟨 YELLOW · 83' D. Kaiba · FC WIL 1900
90′SUBSTITUTION · 83' SC Kriens · On: B. Mulliqi · Off: E. Heiniger
90′SUBSTITUTION · 85' FC WIL 1900 · On: O. Bunjaku · Off: N. Rupp
90′🟨 YELLOW · 88' P. Sutter · FC WIL 1900
90′🟨 YELLOW · 92' M. Diarra · FC WIL 1900
90′SUBSTITUTION · 92' FC WIL 1900 · On: T. Seferovic · Off: L. Schreiber
FTSC Kriens 1–1 FC WIL 1900 · SC Kriens win: wrong · Over 2.5: wrong · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: right · 1–1 exactly: right

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle; a marked row was checked against the match’s final record afterwards.

Timeline

Events will appear when the match starts.

Pre-match prediction

SC Kriens win43%

Draw25%

FC WIL 1900 win32%

Published before kick-off · 9 Oct 06:15

Match information

FRI 9 OCT · 18:30

Venue · Stadion Kleinfeld

The game so far

Recorded statistics

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Players on the pitch

Recorded line-ups

Line-ups

SC Kriens

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Salchli

23 J. Hermann

4 M. Fah

15 E. Heiniger

3 K. Trondle

5 M. Willimann

12 M. Francois

30 N. Siegrist

27 E. Rufener

11 M. Ishuayed

17 A. Krasniqi

Coach · Michael Winsauer

Substitutes

18 · P. Zajac

21 · B. Mulliqi

8 · A. Willimann

13 · L. Maksutaj

26 · L. Romano

20 · C. Wicht

7 · L. Riedmann

28 · P. Utz

19 · R. Hoxha

FC WIL 1900

Formation not confirmed

1 G. Muslija

21 P. Sutter

15 Y. Schmid

2 U. Nwannah

19 L. Schreiber

13 D. Kaiba

7 P. Weber

10 N. Rupp

20 A. Rexhaj

25 X. Aliu

14 L. Breedijk

Coach · Marco Hammerli

Substitutes

29 · J. Widmer

26 · N. Ato-Zandanga

6 · B. Stillhart

28 · T. Seferovic

8 · O. Bunjaku

17 · T. Staubli

22 · E. Bytyqi

9 · M. Diarra

18 · P. Fischer

Match statistics

Match statistics are not available yet.

Line-ups

SC Kriens

Formation not confirmed

1 R. Salchli

23 J. Hermann

4 M. Fah

15 E. Heiniger

3 K. Trondle

5 M. Willimann

12 M. Francois

30 N. Siegrist

27 E. Rufener

11 M. Ishuayed

17 A. Krasniqi

Coach · Michael Winsauer

Substitutes

18 · P. Zajac

21 · B. Mulliqi

8 · A. Willimann

13 · L. Maksutaj

26 · L. Romano

20 · C. Wicht

7 · L. Riedmann

28 · P. Utz

19 · R. Hoxha

FC WIL 1900

Formation not confirmed

1 G. Muslija

21 P. Sutter

15 Y. Schmid

2 U. Nwannah

19 L. Schreiber

13 D. Kaiba

7 P. Weber

10 N. Rupp

20 A. Rexhaj

25 X. Aliu

14 L. Breedijk

Coach · Marco Hammerli

Substitutes

29 · J. Widmer

26 · N. Ato-Zandanga

6 · B. Stillhart

28 · T. Seferovic

8 · O. Bunjaku

17 · T. Staubli

22 · E. Bytyqi

9 · M. Diarra

18 · P. Fischer

Our number · sc kriens winPublished 9 Oct 18:34

43% The market38%

Us43%

~~Market~~38%

We make SC Kriens a 43% chance to win. The market has them at 38%. We are 5 points more confident than the market. The model expects 1.7–1.4.

How the number movedSince we published

Our probability · sc kriens win The market, margin stripped

Our number has not moved since we published. The market has gone from 44% to 38% in the same time.

Every market, from one calculation

Market	Us	Market	Gap
SC Kriens win	43%	38%	+5
Draw	25%	25%	+1
FC WIL 1900 win	32%	38%	−6
Over 2.5 goals	60%	66%	−5
Both teams to score	62%	67%	−5
Over 1.5 goals	83%	84%	−1
Over 3.5 goals	38%	46%	−7
SC Kriens or draw	68%	62%	+6
SC Kriens clean sheet	25%	–	–
FC WIL 1900 clean sheet	19%	–	–

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. The market is the median of 10 bookmakers, each with its margin stripped — what we are measured against, never an input to the model.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 11.6%

0123450 5.8 5.1 4.6 2.3 1 6.3 11.6 7.4 3.6 2 6.4 8.7 6.1 2.9 3 3.7 5.0 3.5 4 2.2 5

under 2% 5% 12%+SC Kriens down, FC WIL 1900 across

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

How we got to this number6 steps · in order

Our model

Rates each side's attack and defence from 945 Challenge League matches up to 9 Oct 2026, weighting recent results more and allowing for home advantage.

Base rates

Challenge League matches have gone over 2.5 in 60.0% of games this season, across 45 played.

Head to head

5 previous meetings, 3.00 goals a meeting; 3 of 5 went over 2.5.

Home and away form

SC Kriens at home: 1.50 scored, 1.67 conceded a game (last 6). FC WIL 1900 away: 1.83 scored, 2.83 conceded (last 6).

What the model expects

1.70 goals for SC Kriens, 1.43 for FC WIL 1900. Most likely score 1–1.

Not in these numbers yet

Line-ups, injuries and suspensions, and rest days are being measured in a test version of our model; they do not change these numbers. Weather and the referee are shown on the match page but not used.

Nothing here is written by hand. Each step is a figure the model used, in the order it used it.

Head to head

5 meetings since 2021

~~Goals a meeting~~3.00

~~Over 2.5~~3 of 5

~~Both scored~~2 of 5

~~Last meetings~~FCW 0–2 SCK · SCK 2–1 FCW · FCW 3–1 SCK · FCW 4–0 SCK

Form · last six in Challenge League

SC KRIENS

WWDLDW2–0 · 3–0 · 1–1 · 0–2 · 2–2 · 4–1

FC WIL 1900

LDDDLW0–2 · 1–1 · 2–2 · 1–1 · 0–4 · 5–0

The table

2026/27

#	TEAM	P	GD	PTS
1	Stade Lausanne-Ouchy	9	+14	21
2	FC Winterthur	9	+11	18
3	Yverdon Sport	9	+5	16
4	SC Kriens	9	+5	14
5	FC Aarau	9	−2	12
6	Neuchatel Xamax FC	9	−5	12
7	Rapperswil	9	−1	10
8	Étoile Carouge	9	−4	9
9	FC WIL 1900	9	−6	9
10	Stade Nyonnais	9	−17	2