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Zürich W v St. Gallen W

Zürich W
3–1Full time
St. Gallen W

AXA Women’s Super League · FRI 16 OCT

Full timeGraded 16 Oct 21:01
Zürich W 3–1 St. Gallen W ZÜRICH W WIN · RIGHTOVER 2.5 · RIGHTBOTH TO SCORE · RIGHTOVER 1.5 · RIGHTUNDER 3.5 · WRONG1–1 EXACTLY · WRONG
We said Zürich W win62%
Brier score, this match · lower is better0.219

The prediction on this page is exactly as published before kick-off. Match events and statistics come from the match and are corrected when the official figures change. Wrong calls are shown exactly like right ones.

The match replay16 notes · 16 alerts
  1. 0′Before kick-off: we said Zürich W win at 62%.
  2. 1′Little has changed for our model: Zürich W 62% before kick-off, 64% now. 0–0 · 64–19–17
  3. 1′KICK-OFF Zürich W v St. Gallen W
  4. 22′St. Gallen W find the net on 21′. 0–1. 0–1 · 33–26–41
  5. 22′We said Zürich W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 33%. 0–1 · 33–26–41
  6. 22′⚽ GOAL · 21' Zürich W 0–1 St. Gallen W
  7. 22′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 22' Zürich W win: 62% at kick-off, 33% now
  8. 22′THE CALL SWINGS · 22' St. Gallen W win is now our likeliest result at 41% (was Zürich W win 33%)
  9. 24′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 24' Zürich W win: 62% at kick-off, 32% now
  10. 30′We said Zürich W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 29%. 0–1 · 29–27–44
  11. 30′The goal count is tracking the 3.3 we expected. 0–1 · 29–27–44
  12. 40′We said Zürich W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 24%. 0–1 · 24–28–47
  13. 44′OUR NUMBER MOVES DOWN · 44' Zürich W win: 62% at kick-off, 22% now
  14. 45′St. Gallen W ahead on 20′ through A. de Freitas. 0–1. 0–1 · 22–29–50
  15. 45′HALF-TIME Zürich W 0–1 St. Gallen W
  16. 46′SECOND HALF Zürich W 0–1 St. Gallen W
  17. 50′A goal for Zürich W on 50′ — 1–1. 1–1 · 48–35–17
  18. 50′We said Zürich W at 62%. On the run of the match our model now has it at 48%. 1–1 · 48–35–17
  19. 50′⚽ GOAL · 50' Zürich W 1–1 St. Gallen W
  20. 50′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 50' Zürich W win: 62% at kick-off, 48% now
  21. 50′THE CALL SWINGS · 50' Zürich W win is now our likeliest result at 48% (was St. Gallen W win 17%)
  22. 52′Zürich W score on 52′ to make it 2–1. 2–1 · 83–14–3
  23. 52′We said Zürich W at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 83%. 2–1 · 83–14–3
  24. 52′⚽ GOAL · 52' Zürich W 2–1 St. Gallen W
  25. 52′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 52' Zürich W win: 62% at kick-off, 83% now
  26. 63′We said Zürich W at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 85%. 2–1 · 85–13–2
  27. 65′Zürich W find the net on 65′. 3–1. 3–1 · 98–2–0
  28. 65′We said Zürich W at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to 98%. 3–1 · 98–2–0
  29. 65′That is 4, and we only asked for 3.3 across ninety minutes. 3–1 · 98–2–0
  30. 65′⚽ GOAL · 65' Zürich W 3–1 St. Gallen W
  31. 65′OUR NUMBER MOVES UP · 65' Zürich W win: 62% at kick-off, 98% now
  32. 81′We said Zürich W at 62% before kick-off; the game as it stands moves that to over 99%. 3–1 · 100–0–0
  33. FTFULL TIME Zürich W 3–1 St. Gallen W
  34. FTZürich W 3–1 St. Gallen W · Zürich W win: right · Over 2.5: right · Both to score: right · Over 1.5: right · Under 3.5: wrong · 1–1 exactly: wrong

What our live read said during the match, as it was said, with the score and our numbers for home–draw–away at that moment; and every alert we raised, with the minute. Nothing is written after the final whistle.

AI match analysis

Pass
Pitchside prediction · before kick-off

Zürich W are clear favourites.

The Pitchside prediction: Zürich W 62%, draw 21%, St. Gallen W 17%. Over 2.5 goals 63%, both teams to score 58%.

The AI’s read on Zürich W v St. Gallen WBefore, during and after the match · From £5.99 + VAT · paid once, never renewsSee the passes

Pre-match prediction

First published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off

Zürich W win62%
Draw21%
St. Gallen W win17%

Kick-offFRI 16 OCT · 18:00

RoundMatchday 9

Rest & schedule

Before kick-off · every competition we cover

Zürich W

St. Gallen W

14Days since last match12

Last match: 2 Oct · AXA Women’s Super League

Last match: 4 Oct · AXA Women’s Super League

1Matches in previous 14 days1

Counted across every competition we cover, before kick-off. Friendlies are not counted.

League table

2026/27

Positions before kick-off

#TEAMPGDPTS
3Zürich W8+1115
9St. Gallen W8−144

Match statistics

Match statistics aren’t available yet.

Line-ups

Confirmed line-ups aren’t available for this match.

Our number · zürich w winFirst published 10 Oct 03:49 · locked at kick-off
62% The market–
Us62%

We make Zürich W a 62% chance to win. The model expects 2.3–1.1, and 1–1 is the single most likely score at 10%. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

What the number rests on

Our model
Expected goals · Zürich W v St. Gallen W2.26 – 1.06
Form · last six in AXA Women’s Super League this season · since 28 AugW2 D3 L1 · W0 D1 L5
Table places · points 15 v 43 v 9

Built from every result, recent matches counting most, with home advantage in it. Line-ups, injuries and rest are not in the number.

Every market, from one calculation
MarketUsMarketGap
Zürich W win62%––
Draw21%––
St. Gallen W win17%––
Over 2.5 goals63%––
Both teams to score58%––
Over 1.5 goals84%––
Over 3.5 goals42%––
Zürich W or draw83%––
Zürich W clean sheet35%––
St. Gallen W clean sheet12%––

Every figure here is read off one scoreline distribution, so no two can contradict each other. No bookmaker has priced this match yet.

Every scorelineMost likely 1–1 at 9.7%
0123450 5.2 3.1 2.3 1 7.3 9.7 4.7 2 9.0 9.2 4.9 3 6.7 6.7 3.6 4 3.9 3.9 2.0 5
under 2% 5% 12%+Zürich W down, St. Gallen W across0–5 goals a side shown (96.2% of outcomes)

This is a probability, not a recommendation. We take no bets and hold no affiliate relationships with any gambling operator. Model 1.1 — Pitchside Lab's own model.

Head to head

Last 10 meetings
Goals a meeting3.10
Over 2.55 of 10
Both scored6 of 10
Last meetingsZUR 0–0 STG · STG 1–3 ZUR · STG 0–0 ZUR · ZUR 3–1 STG

Every competition we cover, the latest meeting first.

Form · last six in AXA Women’s Super League this season · since 28 Aug

ZÜRICH W

WWDDDL8–0 · 4–2 · 1–1 · 1–1 · 0–0 · 1–4

ST. GALLEN W

LLDLLL1–3 · 0–1 · 2–2 · 1–4 · 1–4 · 0–3

The table

2026/27
#TEAMPGDPTS
1Servette Chênois W8+1019
2Grasshopper W8+1517
3Zürich W8+1115
4Young Boys W8+415
5Basel W8+212
6Luzern W8+211
7Yverdon W8−28
8Rapperswil Jona W8−58
9St. Gallen W8−144
10Aarau W8−231

The competition's standings before kick-off.